CARIBBEAN SEA... An area of showers and thunderstorms persists over the SW
Caribbean associated with a surface low pressure located near 10N81W. The strongest convection associated with this system is currently over waters, affecting mainly the area from 12N to 15.5N between 79W and 83W. A well defined diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. Computer model indicates that all this moisture will spread across northern central America and the Gulf of Honduras on Monday and will likely persist on Tuesday. Locally heavy rain, with the potential of flash flooding and mudslides could occur over parts of northern Costa Rica, Nicaragua and Honduras through Monday.