UNUSUAL WARM WATERS IN THE GULF & MODELS HINTING ON SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

Gulf waters are unseasonably warm for this time of the season due to a lack of winter in the south.  Some of the models are suggesting possible sub-tropical development in the central Gulf middle of next week.  

What is the likelihood that a tropical storm could form in the Gulf of Mexico during this time of the year you may ask?  Well if water temps are favorable, upper level winds, atmospheric conditions in general are favorable for cyclone genesis to occur this could happen anytime of the year in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

I guess will see if this holds true.  I will continue monitoring model run which could turn out to be nothing or not!

RTW