Monday, July 17, 2017

12z MODEL RUN FOR INVEST 95L JULY 17, 2017 0951 AM EDT

Invest 95L still has a nice circulation but this morning it seems to be encountering some wind shear and dry Sahara dust and air.  It is noticeable on enhanced IR, water vapor and visible satellite.  You can see feathering of the clouds the cold cloud tops warming and thunderstorm activity has diminished some.  This system now has a Medium chance 50% within 48hrs. and a Med chance 50% within 5-days.

There is another system that I circled yesterday that NHC is now also monitoring that has a Low chance 20% within 48 hrs. and a Low chance 30% within 5-days.  This system is right behind Inest 95L.


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