Monday, July 31, 2017

EMILY DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION JULY 31, 2017 0500 PM EDT

000
WTNT31 KNHC 312043
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Emily Advisory Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062017
500 PM EDT Mon Jul 31 2017

...EMILY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN FLORIDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.8N 81.7W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM NW OF SEBRING FLORIDA
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM WSW OF MELBOURNE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the remainder
of the Florida west coast.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Emily
was located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 81.7 West. Emily is
moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this
general motion is expected to continue this afternoon and early
evening. A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward
speed is expected by tonight and Tuesday.  On the forecast track,
the center of Emily will continue to move farther inland over the
central Florida peninsula this evening, and move offshore of the
east-central Florida coast Tuesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with
higher gusts. Some additional weakening is possible while Emily
moves across the central Florida peninsula tonight. Slow
strengthening is forecast after Emily emerges over the Atlantic
Ocean on Tuesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on nearby surface
observations is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Emily is expected to produce additional rainfall of 1 to
2 inches across southeast Florida, with isolated storm totals up to
8 inches possible.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart 
 



 

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