The tropical wave near 33° West Latitude has been nearly stationary most of the day. This wave remains in a area of Sahara dust and dry air and the shower activity has diminished some in the past 8 hours. This wave has a weak low pressure associated with it and slow development is possible during the coming days as this wave resumes a westward track.
NHC is giving this wave a LOW chance 10% within 48 hours and has increase the MED chance to 60% within the next five days. The Atlantic high to the north of this wave will help steer this wave toward to west to a west northwest.
This is a wave to monitor closely into next week as it could move in the Direction of the Lesser Antilles or north of the northern Leeward islands and head toward the East Bahamas. Most of the models suggest a turn away from the U.S. but some don't. Still to far out in the future to worry about the track of this system.
RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
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