Monday, July 3, 2017

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE JULY 3, 2017 1140 AM EDT

A tropical wave that was part of a low pressure has detached and is now to the west of the low near 39° West Latitude. The low is now considered STORM INVEST 94L since probabilities for development are rising. The low has been meandering, and is now a bit further south around 09° North Longitude and near 33° West Latitude.  This may be a tad more favorable for development if it begins tracking westward at those low longitutdes and away from the Sahara Air Layer (African dust & dry air ) that is presently north of 12° North Longitude of where the low is located.

High pressure over the Atlantic north of this system will eventually begin steering this low to the west or west-northwest and north of the northern Leeward Islands as most models suggest.  Still to early to say if that forecast will hold because the atmosphere changes constantly.

NHC is giving this system a LOW chance 20% within 48 hrs. and has increased to HIGH chance 70% within the next 5-days.

Stayed tuned here daily for the latest of the tropics.  Models are
RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

WSI INTELLICAST

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