Wednesday, August 30, 2017

18z MODEL GUIDANCE AND INTENSITY MODEL RUN FOR HARVEY AND IRMA 0355 PM EDT AUG 30 2017

HARVEY 18z MODEL RUN

The 18z model run for IRMA no telling where it will go at this time.  Some suggest East of the U.S. Coast other suggest somewhere along the Eastern Sea board or in the Gulf of Mexico. There to many uncertainties at this time.  Monday will have a better feel of where it may end up.  Will continue to watch closely.  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

Satellite shows a maturing tropical cyclone and we could see a hurricane form over night or tomorrow.  Wind shear for the next five days looks good for development.  In this image animation you can see the buzz saw look which means this system has good over all inflow and outflow.  IRMA a storm to watch.
 The 18z Intensity model from tropicaltidbits.com show a Category 3 hurricane in the near future.  I think it could get up higher depending on the conditions ahead next week.  RTW

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