Thursday, June 15, 2017

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 0918

Showers and storms more numerous in the Bay of Honduras and the west and northwest Caribbean.  Development forecast during the weekend.

Tropical Wave southwest of the Cape Verde no change in organization. 

Wave off the African coast looks less organized lost some of its convection (thunderstorms).  Development if any would be slow to occur...RTW





UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST



Tonight Jun 15, 2017 0435 PM EDT
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms:  Lows around 75°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 16
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 93°F. South wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 75°F.  South southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Saturday Jun 17
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday Jun 18
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  Heat index around 93°F. East southeast wind 9 to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jun 19
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the Day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. Southeast wind to 18 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 13 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Tuesday Jun 20
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F.  Southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms Night: Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Wednesday Jun 21
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 81°F.  Heat index around 91°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA




Local Radar

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 0409 PM EDT

Still monitoring the northwest Caribbean as satellite continues to show signs of slow organization.  Development of this system is forecast to develop over the weekend.  There is a 50% chance for development with 5-days per NHC.

The wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little in the past 24 hours.  So development of this wave if any will be slow to occur.  This wave has a 10% chance within 48hrs. and a20% chance within the next 5 days.

Another Strong wave moved off the coast of Africa and is also in the lower latitude so I will monitor this one closely as well...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net





EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 1115 AM EDT

Monitoring the northwest Caribbean and the Yucatan for development this weekend.  Showers and storms have increased in the GOH (Gulf of Honduras) and some of this will eventually track northwest toward the northwest Caribbean aiding in the development of low pressure.  Upper level conditions have become more favorable in the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development.  Chances for development have increase to 50% during the next 5 days per NHC.

The tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands still has a 10% chance for development during the next 48 hrs. and a 20% chance during the next 5 days

RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net




THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR TODAY

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Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.