Friday, June 16, 2017

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 16, 2017 0436 PM EDT

Developing storm system over the northwest Caribbean is now a Storm Invest without the number at this time.  This system now has 10% chance of developing within 48hrs. and still remains a 60% chance within 5-days.  Thunderstorm activity continue to redevelop even with wind shear in the area.  Slow development over the weekend expected and into the first half of next weekend.

1012mb low associated with central Atlantic tropical wave seems like its becoming better organized as it continues to tracks westward in the lower latitudes.  This system now has a potential for development of 30% within 48hrs. and a 50% chance within the next 5-days.  Most of the models dissipate this system as it tracks through the southern East Caribbean sometime next week...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net






TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

4
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 16, 2017 1130 PM EDT

The west Caribbean a bit more active with scatter strong storms however, the wind shear still a bit strong in the area.  This system is gradually attempting to take shape.  NHC has up to this to a 60% chance of development within the next 5 days.

The wave west southwest of the Cape Verde Island or ( Cabo Verde) in Spanish has now has a 20% chance of development within the next 48hrs. and 40% within 5-days.

Watching another wave behind the one above even though non of the models suggest development...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net