Saturday, June 17, 2017

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 17, 2017 0903 PM EDT

INVEST 92L OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC STILL HAS POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.  MEDIUM CHANCE 40% WITHIN 48HRS. AND 60% WITHIN 5-DAYS.

INVEST 93L GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND IT NOW HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A MEDIUM CHANCE 40% WITHIN 48 HRS. AND 80% WITHIN 5-DAYS.  NOT SURE YET WHERE THIS SYSTEM IS HEADED.  SO RESIDENTS FOR THE MEXICO TEXAS BORDER TO LOUISIANA SHOULD CONTINUED TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM...RTW

THERE ARE TWO OTHER WAVES WEST OF THE AFRICAN COAST THAT HAVE BEEN INTERACTING WITH A MONZOON TROUGH.  THAT IS THE REASON FOR THE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LAST NIGHT.  THEY LOOKED RATHER IMPRESSIVE LAST NIGHT.

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net






AS I PROMISED THE MODELS FOR INVEST 93L CARIBBEAN SYSTEM

AMENDMENT MADE TO CORRECT BELOW SENTENCE ADD THE WORD (NOT).

THESE ARE NOT THE BEST MODELS THEY HAVE TO OFFER BUT ITS A START AND SOON AN UPGRADE OF THIS SYSTEM TO A MEDIUM POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT.



EYE ON THE TROPIC JUNE 17, 2017 0123 PM EDT

LATEST MODEL RUN FOR THOSE WHO CAN GO TO WEBSITE IS AT "RALPH'S STORM TRACK MAPS" AND FOR THOSE WHO CAN'T GO TO THE SITE BECAUSE YOUR USING A PHONE HERE IT IS BELOW.

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net




EYE ON THE TROPIC UPDATE JUNE 17, 2017 0320 AM EDT

NEW MODEL RUN IS OUT AND YOU CAN FIND IT AT RALPH'S STORM TRACK MAPS.

Since this website does not work for some of you, I am posting the model map here as well. 



EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 17, 2017 12:37 AM EDT

UPDATE 6/17/2017 0226 PM
Low latitude wave over the Central Atlantic has been upgraded to INVEST 92L by NHC.  They are giving this wave a 40% chance of development within 48hrs. and a 70% chance within the next 5-days.

Another aggressive wave behind 92L seems to be better organized than 92L.  In fact this wave looks like it is a tropical depression at this time via satellite.  I will keep close tabs on this system as well.

The Caribbean system continues to show signs of organization and this system has now a 20% chance for development within 48hrs. and 70% within the next 5-days per NHC.  Gulf Coast residents From Mexico Texas Border to Northern Texas keep monitoring this system over the weekend.

African satellite animation shows another strong wave about to roll off the coast and another strong wave behind that one.  Seems to me that the Cape Verde or (Cabo Verde) season has begun early.

RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
 STORM INVEST 92L