Monday, July 3, 2017

HAPPY 4TH OF JULY TO ALL!

HAPPY 4TH OF JULY
FROM RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER!

EVENING TROPICAL UPDATE JULY 3, 2017 1103 PM EDT

INVEST 94L:
Storm Investigation 94L continues to slowly become better organized.  This 1011 mb is Low is between 33° and 34° West Latitude.   Although they say this system is nearly stationary it seems to have drifted more toward the West and West-Northwest.  Sahara air layer is still to the north of this system near 12° N longitude.  Being that this system is now at a lower Longitude it and along a monsoonal trough the showers are more numerous. 

NHC has now raised the probability of development to Medium chance within 48 hrs. and the High remains at 70% within the next 48 hrs for now. 

RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

 WSI CORP.


 


UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST



Tonight Jul 3 2017
Partly cloudy. Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.

Tuesday Jul 4
Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly Cloudy during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. East wind to 10 MPH.

Wednesday Jul 5
Partly Cloudy during the ay: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. East wind 8 to 13 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. East wind to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday Jul 6
Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. East wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday Jul 7
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. East southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Saturday Jul 8
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 95°F. South southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday Jul 9
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR IS COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA




Local Radar

TROPICAL UPDATE JULY 3, 2017 0421 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

Keeping an eye on the low near 3
4° West Latitude for development in the coming days.  Latest satellite animation shows a small circulation obscured by clouds and the showers are becoming more numerous as this system meanders for now at a lower longitude between 08° and 10° North.

Being at these lower Longitudes seems to have help this system a bit since the Sahara Air Layer is north of 12° North Longitude, and this low is within a moist monsoonal trough which is enhancing shower activity around this system.  

NHC is has up the LOW chance to 30% within 48 hrs. and the HIGH chance remains at 70% during the next 5-days.

Stay tuned here for the latest on Storm Invest 94 L

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
 STORM INVESTIGATION 94L MAP BY RTW
  
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

WSI CORPORATION

TOMORROWS 4 OF JULY THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK


Hail Point® @HailPoint 8
Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook.

TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

16
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE JULY 3, 2017 1140 AM EDT

A tropical wave that was part of a low pressure has detached and is now to the west of the low near 39° West Latitude. The low is now considered STORM INVEST 94L since probabilities for development are rising. The low has been meandering, and is now a bit further south around 09° North Longitude and near 33° West Latitude.  This may be a tad more favorable for development if it begins tracking westward at those low longitutdes and away from the Sahara Air Layer (African dust & dry air ) that is presently north of 12° North Longitude of where the low is located.

High pressure over the Atlantic north of this system will eventually begin steering this low to the west or west-northwest and north of the northern Leeward Islands as most models suggest.  Still to early to say if that forecast will hold because the atmosphere changes constantly.

NHC is giving this system a LOW chance 20% within 48 hrs. and has increased to HIGH chance 70% within the next 5-days.

Stayed tuned here daily for the latest of the tropics.  Models are
RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

WSI INTELLICAST