Thursday, August 3, 2017

TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 3, 2017 1041 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. INVEST 99L is looking better organized this evening, so if this trend continues we could see a depression of tropical storm form in a day or two.  This system needs to be watch closely as the Atlantic High could steer this system further west.  So far recurving of this system does look possible if conditions hold...RTW

2.  INVEST 90L not much change today.  I will keep monitoring it...RTW  

STORM INVEST 99L






STORM INVEST 90L










TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 3, 2017 0518 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. I am still monitoring that strong wave that moved off the coast of over night.  NHC is now on board with this wave as well and is giving this wave a LOW Chance 30% within 48 hrs. and High 70% within 5-days. This is the wave to watch as future patterns don't favor for a recurve to the north and away from the east coast. of the U.S.  Still to far out so will continue to watch it closely...RTW

2.  The tropics are popping with another strong wave in the East Caribbean. This wave if forecast to develop some as it track west toward the BOC (Bay of Campeche) Southern Gulf of Mexico.  That may be a threat for Mexico or the Gulf coast.  NHC gives this system a 10% chance within 48 hrs and a Low 20% chance within the 5-days.
RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

STORM INVEST 99L



STORM INVEST 90L




TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK AUG 3, 2017 1211 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

Storm Investigation 99L
1. I am still monitoring that strong wave that moved off the coast of over night.  NHC is now on board with this wave as well and is giving this wave a LOW Chance 30% within 48 hrs. and 60% within 5-days. This is the wave to watch as future patterns don't favor for a re-curve to the north and away from the east coast. of the U.S.  Still to far out so will continue to watch it closely...RTW

Elsewhere the tropics remain relatively quiet.  I will keep you posted.

RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

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