Wednesday, August 9, 2017

FRANKLIN BECOMES A HURRICANE, WARNINGS UP FOR THE MEXICAN COAST 0400 PM EDT AUG 9



000
WTNT32 KNHC 092041
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Franklin Advisory Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072017
400 PM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017

...FRANKLIN BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2017 ATLANTIC
SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.1N 94.9W
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico east of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas
* The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Barra del Tordo

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area.  Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Franklin was
located near latitude 20.1 North, longitude 94.9 West.  Franklin is
moving toward the west near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.  On the
forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to cross the
coast in the Mexican state of Veracruz tonight or early Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is expected until
the center crosses the coast.  Rapid weakening is expected after
landfall in Mexico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles
(220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches are possible across the Mexican states of
Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo,
Queretar and eastern San Luis Potosi in eastern Mexico.  These rains
will be capable of producing life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the Hurricane Warning area tonight.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the
Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the Bay of
Campeche through tonight.  Hurricane conditions are possible within
the Hurricane Watch area tonight.  Tropical storm conditions are
expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in eastern Mexico by
this evening.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the
immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes
landfall in the Hurricane Warning area.  Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch 
 Ralph's tropical Weather RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
 

TROPIC OUTLOOK 0430 PM EDT AUG 9, 2017


RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather
1.  INVEST 99L Still being monitored for possible development by next week as it moves to a more favorable environment...RTW

3.  INFORMATION ON FRANKLIN REFER TO NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER LINK ON THIS PAGE FOR UPDATES....RTW

4.  Clouds showers and storms over the Bahamas and eastern Cuba is associated with a mid to upper level trough that is interacting with a tropical wave over the Caymans and Western Cuba.  Some of the models show a weak elongated area of showers a storms that will track slowly toward the Florida east coast and others show it dissipating.  i will keep a close eye on it...RTW 
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net 
 STORM INVEST 99L






 


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK 0133 PM EDT AUG 9 2017

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather
1.  INVEST 99L Still being monitored for possible development by next week as it moves to a more favorable environment...RTW

3.  INFORMATION ON FRANKLIN REFER TO NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER LINK ON THIS PAGE FOR UPDATES....RTW



FRANKLIN 1000 AM EDT UPDATE AUG 9, 2017

000
WTNT32 KNHC 091452
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Franklin Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL072017
1000 AM CDT Wed Aug 09 2017

...FRANKLIN ALMOST A HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 93.9W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning east of Puerto Dos Bocas.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico from Puerto de Veracruz to Cabo Rojo

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico north of Cabo Rojo to Rio Panuco

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of Mexico east of Puerto de Veracruz to Puerto Dos Bocas
* The coast of Mexico north of Tuxpan to Barra del Tordo

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours.
Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to
completion.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Franklin was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 93.9 West.  Franklin is
moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so.  On the
forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to approach the
coast of eastern Mexico today, then cross the coast in the Mexican
state of Veracruz tonight or early Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Additional strengthening is expected, and Franklin is
forecast to become a hurricane later today and reach the coast of
Mexico as a hurricane tonight or early Thursday.  Rapid weakening is
expected after landfall in Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
from the center.

The minimum central pressure based on Hurricane Hunter aircraft
observations is 985 mb (29.09 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Franklin is expected to produce additional rainfall
accumulations of 1 to 3 inches across portions of Belize and the
Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico through today.  Rainfall totals of 4 to
8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible
across the Mexican states of Tabasco, northern Veracruz, northern
Puebla, Tlaxacala, Hidalgo, Queretar and eastern San Luis Potosi in
eastern Mexico.  These rains will be capable of producing
life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

WIND:  Hurricane conditions are expected to reach the coast within
the Hurricane Warning area by tonight.  Winds are expected to first
reach tropical storm strength later today, making outside
preparations difficult or dangerous.  Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.

Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the
Tropical Storm Warning area along the southern shore of the
Bay of Campeche through tonight.  Hurricane conditions are
possible within the Hurricane Watch area tonight.  Tropical storm
conditions are expected within the Tropical Storm Warning area in
eastern Mexico by this evening.

STORM SURGE:  A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by
as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide levels along the
immediate coast near and to the north of where the center makes
landfall in the Hurricane Warning area.  Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch