Monday, August 21, 2017

EYES ON THE TROPICS INVEST 92L AND INVEST 91L HARVEY UPDATE 1216 PM EDT AUG 21, 2017

RTW: Review of the Tropics

1. Not much change with this tropical wave.  Atmospheric not favorable for tropical cyclone formation.

2. INVEST 92L Models still insisting on weak depression or tropical storm and even a cat. 1 hurricane at some point with this disorganized system.  If it does develop into a hurricane it would be after it tracks over Florida and then back out over the Atlantic waters east of GA. 

The EURO model also suggest a track toward Florida and then out over the Atlantic as it tracks back toward the northeast but as a weaker system.  

06z Intensity model calls for a tropical storm or even a Cat.1 hurricane to form from this weather system.  Not saying this will be a significant event but we always need to be ready just in case..RTW

3.INVEST 91L HARVEY remnants is looking better every hour.  We may see a tropical storm develop as it tracks toward the Yucatan and anyone from Mexico to Texas should closely monitor this storm system...RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net






 Harvey's remnants looking better every hour.