Wednesday, October 25, 2017

TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 25, 2017 0403 PM EDT

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea and Central America
have become a little better organized over the past few hours. Close
proximity to land is likely to limit development of this system for
the next day or so.  However, environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive for the system to become more organized later this
week as it moves slowly northward over the northwestern Caribbean
Sea. Strong upper-level winds associated with an approaching cold
front will likely prevent further development by Sunday.  Regardless
of development, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of
Central America and Cuba during the next several days. 
 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

 


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 25, 2017 1045 AM EDT

A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms over
Nicaragua, Honduras, and the adjacent waters.  Close proximity to
land is likely to limit development of this system for the next day
or so.  However, environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for the system to become more organized later this week as
it moves slowly northward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Strong upper-level winds associated with an approaching cold front
will likely prevent further development by Sunday.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of Central
America and Cuba during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky