Thursday, October 26, 2017

TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 26, 2017 0404 PM EDT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 261731
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Oct 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean
Sea are associated with a trough of low pressure.  Environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for some development on
Friday and Saturday as the system moves slowly northward over the
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Strong upper-level winds associated
with an approaching cold front will make conditions less favorable
by Sunday.   Regardless of development, this system is expected to
produce locally heavy rainfall over the Cayman Islands, Jamaica,
and portions of Cuba during the next day or two.  These rains are
forecast to spread northward across portions of South Florida and
the Keys on Saturday, and over the northwestern Bahamas Saturday
night and Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
 




 

TOMORROW'S SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK

10
Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook.


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 26, 2017 0955 AM EDT

000
ABNT20 KNHC 261141
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea
and Central America continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Close proximity to land is likely to limit
development of this system during the next 24 hours.  However,
environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for the system
to become more organized Friday and Saturday as it moves slowly
northward over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Strong upper-level
winds associated with an approaching cold front will make conditions
less favorable by Sunday.  Regardless of development, this system is
expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of Central
America and Cuba during the next couple of days.  These rains are
forecast to spread northward across portions of South Florida and
the Keys on Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown
 




 
 

THIS MORNING WAKE UP TEMPS ACROSS THE STATE

It was nice for a change to wake up to fall like temps here in Florida.  Here is the temp map and water vapor imagery that shows drier conditions over us.  Enjoy because it is short lived until Sunday night into Monday morning when we have another front moving in that will drag tropical moisture from the Caribbean over a portion of South Florida this weekend.