200 WTNT31 KNHC 220248 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112018 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 21 2018 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... ...FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN A FEW DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.1N 53.4W ABOUT 510 MI...825 KM E OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven was located near latitude 13.1 North, longitude 53.4 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion will likely continue for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected for the next day or two. The depression is forecast to dissipate late this weekend or early next week before it reaches the Lesser Antilles. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky
---------------------------------------------------------------------
ralphstropicalweather.com
ELEVEN WILL BE A SHORT LIVED SYSTEM DUE TO A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE EVEN MORE AS THIS SYSTEM TRACKS TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE BEFORE REACHING THE ISLANDS...RTW
THE REMNANTS OF FLORENCE WILL COME CLOSE TO THE COAST THEN TURN BACK OUT TO SEA AS A FRONT SWEEPS IT EAST.
THIS SYSTEM HAS A CHANCE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BUT IT ALSO MOVES INTO A HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT WHEN IT REACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES NEXT WEEK...RTW
