Thursday, October 4, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 4, 2018...1239 PM EDT

Leslie a tad weaker and continues producing rough surf for the Bermuda Island.

Caribbean disturbance drifting northwestward. 

Models continue trending to the west of previous model run, an indication that high pressure over southeast will block a northward track or a northeast track for now. 

As high pressure moves east toward the Atlantic then this a tropical storm or hurricane will begin to turn north and eventually northeastward around the peripheral of the high pressure ridge. 

This is as I see it right now.  I caution you though!  This is not an official forecast just my observation.

Always monitor National Hurricane Center forecast...RTW