RTW
Area being monitored:
000
ABNT20 KNHC 101729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 10 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Significant development of this system is not expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, these
winds are forecast to lessen by Tuesday, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone could form during the middle of next week while
the system moves near or north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Tropical Waves:
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 23W/25W from 11N
southward. This wave has been added to the 10/1200 UTC map
analysis based on long-loop satellite imagery and model guidance.
ITCZ-related precipitation is nearby.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 36W/37W from 12N
southward. This wave has been re-positioned based on long-loop
satellite imagery and model guidance. ITCZ-related precipitation
is nearby.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 48W/49W from 15N
southward. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 12N to 16N between 43W and 48W. Broken to
overcast multilayered clouds and possible rainshowers are from
14N to 17N between 34W and 41W.
A surface trough is along 56W/57W from 08N to 16N. Scattered
moderate to strong rainshowers are from 12N to 15N between 54W
and 58W. Isolated moderate to locally strong rainshowers are
elsewhere from 12N to 20N between 50W and 60W.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 83W/84W from 20N
southward. The upper level trough, that passes across Hispaniola,
into the central Caribbean Sea, to the east central coast of
Nicaragua, is on top of the area of the tropical wave. Isolated
moderate to locally strong rainshowers are from 17N southward from
80W westward, to the coastal sections and interior sections of
Honduras and Nicaragua.
