Tropical Waves:
An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 29W and south of 09N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted along and in the vicinity of the wave, enhanced by the proximity of the ITCZ. An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 41W south of 10N. Scattered moderate convection is present 120 nm on either side of the wave axis. This activity is enhanced by the proximity of the ITCZ. An Atlantic tropical wave extends its axis along 55W and south of 16N. Scattered moderate convection is noted north of 13N between 51W and 57W. A tropical wave extends its axis along Central America and the EPAC along 88W. No convection is observed with this wave at this time.
Storm Investigation
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ABNT20 KNHC 111739 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 100 PM EST Sun Nov 11 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers activity has increased and become a little better organized today in association with a tropical wave located about 350 miles east-southeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone is expected to form by the middle of the week. The system will move westward to west-northwestward for the next few days, passing near or north of the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$
