Thursday, April 11, 2024

..SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FOR A PORTION OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA..

 


PLENTY OF LIGHTNING WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS MOVING IN OVER FLORIDA THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR THE LATEST SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK UPDATES.

RTW

SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK (SLIGHT RISK)


ENHANCED18,7192,690,772Canton, OH...Charleston, WV...Huntington, WV...Parkersburg, WV...Massillon, OH...
SLIGHT104,81823,480,375Jacksonville, FL...Columbus, OH...Cleveland, OH...Tampa, FL...Pittsburgh, PA...
MARGINAL230,27041,233,248Baltimore, MD...Charlotte, NC...Washington, DC...Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...

TORNADO OUTLOOK

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
10 %18,8122,696,044Canton, OH...Charleston, WV...Huntington, WV...Parkersburg, WV...Massillon, OH...
5 %70,43014,676,227Jacksonville, FL...Tampa, FL...Pittsburgh, PA...St. Petersburg, FL...Akron, OH...
2 %226,61044,018,581Columbus, OH...Baltimore, MD...Charlotte, NC...Washington, DC...Cleveland, OH...

DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
15 %123,48826,115,994Jacksonville, FL...Columbus, OH...Cleveland, OH...Tampa, FL...Pittsburgh, PA...
5 %230,27741,284,292Baltimore, MD...Charlotte, NC...Washington, DC...Virginia Beach, VA...Raleigh, NC...

DAMAGING HAIL OUTLOOK (FLORIDA NOT INCLUDED)

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
5 %79,87016,438,875Columbus, OH...Cleveland, OH...Pittsburgh, PA...Cincinnati, OH...Lexington-Fayette, KY...


EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK



TORNADO WATCH OUTLOOK


URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 104
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   730 AM EDT Thu Apr 11 2024

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     North and Central Florida
     Southern Georgia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 730 AM until
     300 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...A pre-frontal broken band of storms will gradually shift
   east across the watch area through the morning and into the early
   afternoon.  A few supercells and line segments will probably pose
   some risk for a few tornadoes and damaging gusts.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest of Brunswick GA
   to 20 miles south southwest of Saint Petersburg FL. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
   storm motion vector 23035.

   ...Smith



Wednesday, April 10, 2024

..A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS TODAY APRIL 10, 2024..

 


A DANGEROUS SEVERE WEATHER DAY WITH A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADO.  STAY TUNED TO YOU LOCAL NEWS MEDIA AND THE STORM PREDICITION CENTER FOR UPDATES.

RTW

DAY 1 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (MODERATE RISK)


MODERATE31,0442,002,910Baton Rouge, LA...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...Opelousas, LA...Shenandoah, LA...
ENHANCED53,7315,168,247New Orleans, LA...Mobile, AL...Jackson, MS...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA...
SLIGHT46,8174,326,427Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Tallahassee, FL...Tuscaloosa, AL...
MARGINAL168,10318,772,028Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...

TORNADO OUTLOOK (SIGNIFICANT SEVERE)

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE74,4746,398,359New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA...
15 %27,0481,867,417Baton Rouge, LA...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...Prichard, AL...Opelousas, LA...
10 %51,5304,653,573New Orleans, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA...Gulfport, MS...
5 %39,0893,700,765Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Jackson, MS...Tallahassee, FL...Tuscaloosa, AL...
2 %44,1934,916,747Nashville, TN...Columbus, GA...Huntsville, AL...Murfreesboro, TN...Decatur, AL...

DAMAGING WINDS OUTLOOK (SIGNIFICANT SEVERE)

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE55,0145,075,846New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Mobile, AL...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA...
45 %31,0742,013,653Baton Rouge, LA...Hattiesburg, MS...Meridian, MS...Shenandoah, LA...Laurel, MS...
30 %53,6125,153,438New Orleans, LA...Mobile, AL...Jackson, MS...Metairie, LA...Lafayette, LA...
15 %47,2134,339,689Birmingham, AL...Montgomery, AL...Columbus, GA...Tallahassee, FL...Tuscaloosa, AL...
5 %167,78318,745,695Memphis, TN...Nashville, TN...Atlanta, GA...Shreveport, LA...Little Rock, AR...

DAMAGING HAIL OUTLOOK

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
15 %22,2303,019,101New Orleans, LA...Baton Rouge, LA...Metairie, LA...Gulfport, MS...Kenner, LA...
5 %172,51711,083,119Memphis, TN...Shreveport, LA...Mobile, AL...Little Rock, AR...Jackson, MS...



EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK





Tuesday, April 9, 2024

..ANOTHER ENHANCED SEVERE WEATHER DAY..

 


TODAY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ANOTHER ENHANCED RISK AREA FOR SEVERE STORMS.  STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE LATEST.

RTW

SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK ENHANCED RISK


ENHANCED69,6899,012,790Houston, TX...Austin, TX...Waco, TX...Beaumont, TX...Killeen, TX...
SLIGHT112,41212,778,224San Antonio, TX...Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...
MARGINAL105,25811,180,264Cleveland, OH...Corpus Christi, TX...Baton Rouge, LA...Akron, OH...Jackson, MS...

TORNADO OUTLOOK

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE23,7611,010,492Beaumont, TX...Huntsville, TX...Lufkin, TX...Nacogdoches, TX...Natchitoches, LA...
10 %32,1714,673,966Houston, TX...Beaumont, TX...College Station, TX...The Woodlands, TX...Bryan, TX...
5 %58,0097,745,036Austin, TX...Shreveport, LA...Pasadena, TX...Waco, TX...Killeen, TX...
2 %71,1188,661,330San Antonio, TX...Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Baton Rouge, LA...

DAMAGING WIND OUTLOOK 

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE21,7564,320,443Houston, TX...Beaumont, TX...College Station, TX...The Woodlands, TX...Bryan, TX...
30 %34,8465,084,690Houston, TX...Beaumont, TX...College Station, TX...The Woodlands, TX...Bryan, TX...
15 %76,5279,765,880San Antonio, TX...Austin, TX...Shreveport, LA...Pasadena, TX...Waco, TX...
5 %135,46617,067,941Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Cleveland, OH...Arlington, TX...Corpus Christi, TX...

DAMAGING HAIL OUTLOOK

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE80,62612,135,548Houston, TX...San Antonio, TX...Austin, TX...Pasadena, TX...Waco, TX...
30 %55,8418,221,485Houston, TX...Austin, TX...Waco, TX...Killeen, TX...Tyler, TX...
15 %125,97013,646,053San Antonio, TX...Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...
5 %106,27311,144,659Cleveland, OH...Corpus Christi, TX...Baton Rouge, LA...Akron, OH...Jackson, MS...






Monday, April 8, 2024

..SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKFOR TODAY APRIL 8, 2024..

 


There is an enhanced risk for severe storms today so stayed tuned to the Storms prediction center for the latest outlook updates.

RTW

Severe Storm Outlook


ENHANCED30,4525,512,724Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Irving, TX...
SLIGHT130,10010,293,769San Antonio, TX...Austin, TX...Garland, TX...Lubbock, TX...Shreveport, LA...
MARGINAL188,38515,385,932Houston, TX...Memphis, TN...Oklahoma City, OK...Laredo, TX...Little Rock, AR...

Tornado Outlook

Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
5 %85,25311,970,820Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...
2 %127,53111,647,489Houston, TX...San Antonio, TX...Jackson, MS...Pasadena, TX...Abilene, TX...

Hail Outlook

Probability of one inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of two inch diameter hail or larger within 25 miles of a point.
SIG SEVERE160,39115,783,468San Antonio, TX...Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...
30 %30,1775,461,726Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Irving, TX...
15 %130,20810,333,005San Antonio, TX...Austin, TX...Garland, TX...Lubbock, TX...Shreveport, LA...
5 %188,15815,342,296Houston, TX...Memphis, TN...Oklahoma City, OK...Laredo, TX...Little Rock, AR...

Damaging Wind Outlook

Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point.
Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
15 %114,35713,032,017Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...
5 %159,20812,910,646Houston, TX...San Antonio, TX...Lubbock, TX...Jackson, MS...Pasadena, TX...