Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW

Thursday, January 19, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST...0316 PM EST

Today Jan 19, 2017

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 81°F. West wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 64°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH.

Friday Jan 20

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 81°F. South southwest wind to 9 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 64°F. South wind to 8 MPH.

Saturday Jan 21

Mostly Sunny during the day: Mostly sunny. Highs around 81°F. South wind 7 to 15 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night: Lows around 70°F. South wind to 15 MPH.

Sunday Jan 22

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 82°F. Windy, with a south southwest wind 14 to 21 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Very Windy with rain showers likely during the night: Lows around 68°F. South southwest wind 17 to 32 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Monday Jan 23

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 75°F. Windy, with a west wind 19 to 25 MPH, gusting to 30 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 61°F. West wind 11 to 18 MPH.

Tuesday Jan 24

Mostly Sunny during the day: Mostly sunny. Highs around 77°F. West northwest wind to 10 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows around 63°F. West wind 4 to 9 MPH.

Wednesday Jan 25

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 79°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH.

FORECAST MAP AND LIVE RADAR IS COURTESY OF NWS IN MIAMI FLORIDA

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

‏@HailPoint

Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #HailPoint

THIS STORM SYSTEM HAS A LARGE TROUGH LINE

Wow this system has a trough line that extends into the East Pacific! Check out the visible satellite in this image.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR THIS WEEKEND

‏@breakingweather

Severe thunderstorms will threaten the Southeast this weekend: http://ow.ly/8Ygz3089LAU

BE STORM READY!

‏@EricSnitilWx

Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) values running rather high into Saturday afternoon according to the NAM 4km. Tricky forecast ahead.

WET AND STORMY DAY FOR THE SOUTHEAST

Stormy miserable day for the southeast with flood warnings and tornado warnings.

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN AHEAD

LOOK AT ALL THESE LOWS THIS MODEL SWINGS ACROSS THE GULF INTO THE COMING MONTH. IF THIS PATTERN HOLDS TO BE TRUE ITS GOING TO BE A STORMY START TO FEBRUARY AND A LATE START TO WINTER.

NICE COOL TEMPS IN THE MORNING HERE IN THE SOUTH

Here is my morning wake up temp January 19, 2017. i which the humidity levels were a bit dryer tho. I have to wait for the next front to dry us out.

NWS SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

‏@NWS_Southern_US

Several rounds of storms today through the weekend for the Gulf Coast states. Severe weather possible each day as well.

570
WFUS54 KJAN 191343
TORJAN
MSC127-129-191445-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0009.170119T1343Z-170119T1445Z/
672
WWUS54 KJAN 191354
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
754 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

MSC127-129-191445-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170119T1445Z/
566
WWUS54 KJAN 191357
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
757 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

MSC127-129-191445-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170119T1445Z/
Simpson MS-Smith MS-
757 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL SIMPSON AND CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...

At 756 AM CST, a confirmed tornado was located near Magee, moving
northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
         likely.

This tornado will be near...
Center Ridge around 820 AM CST.
Raleigh around 825 AM CST.
Pineville around 845 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Sylvarena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3186 8973 3221 8945 3210 8937 3198 8936
      3182 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 1356Z 218DEG 24KT 3188 8965

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

570
WFUS54 KJAN 191343
TORJAN
MSC127-129-191445-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0009.170119T1343Z-170119T1445Z/
672
WWUS54 KJAN 191354
SVSJAN

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
754 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

MSC127-129-191445-
/O.CON.KJAN.TO.W.0009.000000T0000Z-170119T1445Z/
Simpson MS-Smith MS-
754 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CST FOR EAST
CENTRAL SIMPSON AND CENTRAL SMITH COUNTIES...

At 751 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Magee, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
         likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Center Ridge around 815 AM CST.
Raleigh around 825 AM CST.
Pineville around 845 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Sylvarena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3185 8974 3221 8945 3210 8937 3198 8936
      3182 8965
TIME...MOT...LOC 1351Z 219DEG 24KT 3185 8966

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

570
WFUS54 KJAN 191343
TORJAN
MSC127-129-191445-
/O.NEW.KJAN.TO.W.0009.170119T1343Z-170119T1445Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Jackson MS
743 AM CST THU JAN 19 2017

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Simpson County in central Mississippi...
Central Smith County in central Mississippi...

* Until 845 AM CST

* At 743 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Mount Olive, or near Magee, moving northeast at 30
mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Center Ridge around 815 AM CST.
Raleigh around 820 AM CST.
Pineville around 840 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Mize
and Sylvarena.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3179 8979 3221 8945 3210 8937 3194 8936
      3178 8963
TIME...MOT...LOC 1343Z 222DEG 25KT 3181 8969

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

CME

OMEGA BLOCK AND A COLD PATTERN AHEAD

COLD LOWS ON WEST AND EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE SANDWICHED IN BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS MAKES FOR AN OMEGA BLOCK. COLD AIR WILL FILTER IN NEXT WEEK AND THE FIRST WEEK OF FEBRUARY. FRIGID TEMPS FOR MOST OF THE EAST COLD TO COOL TEMPS FOR THE SOUTH AND DEEP SOUTH...RTW

WIKIPEDIA:
Blocks in meteorology are large-scale patterns in the atmospheric pressure field that are nearly stationary, effectively “blocking” or redirecting migratory cyclones. They are also known as blocking highs or blocking anticyclones.

NEXT WEEKS PATTERN GRAPHICS BY WEATHERBELL

Wednesday, January 18, 2017

WEST COAST TO GET HAMMERED BY MORE RAIN...DROUGHT RELIEF!

‏@NWSLosAngeles

Series of storms to impact #SoCal late Wed-Mon. 3-6" of rain possible coast/valleys, with ~9" in foothills #LAweather #cawx #CAstorm

NWS Los Angeles ‏@NWSLosAngeles Jan 17

Damaging surf up to 25 ft. with significant beach erosion/coastal flooding possible late Fri-Sat.for #CentralCoast #CAstorm #SLOWeather

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST...0414 PM EST

Today Jan 18, 2017

Mostly Sunny. Highs around 81°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows inland 63°F and upper 60s along the coast. Southeast wind to 7 MPH.

Thursday Jan 19

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 81°F. West wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night: Lows inland 63°F and upper 60s along the coast. South southeast wind to 8 MPH.

Friday Jan 20

Mostly Sunny Day: Highs around 81°F. South wind to 10 MPH.

Mostly Clear Night: Lows inland 66°F and lower 70s along the coast. South wind 5 to 10 MPH.

Saturday Jan 21

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 81°F. South southeast wind 7 to 14 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night: Lows around 70°F. South wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Sunday Jan 22

Partly Cloudy during the day: Partly cloudy. Highs around 81°F. South wind 11 to 17 MPH, gusting to 26 MPH.

Scattered Storms during the night: Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms. Lows inland 66°Fand lower 70s along the coast. South wind to 19 MPH, gusting to 35 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Monday Jan 23

Windy with rain showers likely. during the day: Highs around 75°F. Windy, with a west wind 15 to 22 MPH, gusting to 29 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Partly Cloudy during the night: Lows inland 61°F and mid to upper 60s along the coast. West wind 11 to 18 MPH.

Tuesday Jan 24

Mostly Sunny during the day: Highs around 75°F. West northwest wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF NWS OFFICE MIAMI FLORIDA

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK THIS WEEKEND

‏@wunderground

Significant Severe Weather Threat May Develop in the South This Weekend as Rounds of Rain Impact the Region http://bit.ly/2iJtWOh

NEXT STRONG THE SEVERE WEATHER SYSTEM

‏@RyanMaue

Models showing ferocious storm system across SE Sun-Mon w/potential widespread severe weather / squall 975 mb over North Georgia. Whoa.

Powerful "bomb" cyclone develops over Southeast -- rare depth of 974 mb over Georgia for non-tropical system. Severe weather danger.