Tuesday, February 7, 2017

TORNADO WARNING IN EFFECT

772
WFUS54 KLIX 071335
TORLIX
LAC077-125-MSC157-071430-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0014.170207T1335Z-170207T1430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
735 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2017

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Central Pointe Coupee Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  West Feliciana Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  Southeastern Wilkinson County in southern Mississippi...

* Until 830 AM CST
   
* At 734 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located near Batchelor, or 11 miles northwest of New Roads,
  moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Wakefield around 750 AM CST.
  Spillman around 800 AM CST.
  Woodville around 805 AM CST.
  Centreville around 820 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Crosby.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3131 9109 3129 9108 3128 9106 3101 9106
      3100 9109 3100 9118 3098 9118 3096 9120
      3093 9119 3068 9160 3082 9173 3132 9109
TIME...MOT...LOC 1334Z 230DEG 43KT 3081 9159

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

887
WFUS54 KLIX 071345
TORLIX
LAC033-037-047-077-121-125-071415-
/O.NEW.KLIX.TO.W.0015.170207T1345Z-170207T1415Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
745 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2017

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
  Southeastern Pointe Coupee Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  Northwestern Iberville Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  Northwestern East Baton Rouge Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  Southwestern East Feliciana Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  Southeastern West Feliciana Parish in southeastern Louisiana...
  West Baton Rouge Parish in southeastern Louisiana...

* Until 815 AM CST
   
* At 745 AM CST, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
  was located over Atchafalaya National Wildlife Refuge, or 8 miles
  southeast of Krotz Springs, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

  IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
           shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
           Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree
           damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
  Lottie around 755 AM CST.
  Ramah around 800 AM CST.
  Maringouin around 805 AM CST.
  Livonia, Rosedale and Grosse Tete around 810 AM CST.
  Erwinville around 815 AM CST.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Baton
Rouge Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

To report severe weather contact your nearest law enforcement agency.
They will send your report to the National Weather Service office in
New Orleans.

&&

LAT...LON 3081 9123 3043 9112 3033 9163 3035 9163
      3036 9165 3039 9162 3044 9164 3048 9168
      3048 9169 3050 9170 3050 9175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1345Z 240DEG 26KT 3044 9167

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

32




Local Radar

IMPENDING SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR PORTION OF THE MID SOUTH

 Mesoscale Discussion 0144
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0559 AM CST Tue Feb 07 2017

   Areas affected...Central and southeastern Louisiana...much of
   southern Mississippi...far southwest Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 071159Z - 071400Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...The threat for severe thunderstorms should increase
   through the day. Very large damaging hail is possible over Louisiana
   into southern Mississippi, with isolated tornadoes as well. The
   threat will develop from west to east, affecting Alabama later in
   the day.

   DISCUSSION...Very cold air aloft will continue to spread eastward
   across the region today with upper trough axis near the Mississippi
   river by 18Z. At the surface, substantial low-level moisture is
   already in place from Texas into Louisiana, with mid 60s dewpoints.
   This has created an unstable environment with MUCAPE in the
   1500-2000 J/kg range. A more stable air mass currently resides
   roughly half way across Mississippi and points east, but gradual
   destabilization is expected there as well.

   Low-level winds will remain veering with height, with 0-3 km SRH on
   the order of 200-300 m2/s2 throughout the day. Winds around 850 mb
   will tend to veer as the upper trough approaches, but at the same
   time, intense upper-level flow will spread southeastward across
   Louisiana into southern Mississippi, lengthening hodographs aloft
   and resulting in an increasingly favorable environment for very
   large hail. While tornadoes may not be the primary threat, a few
   will be possible due to supercell storm mode and sufficient
   low-level shear. 

   The greatest severe risk overall is likely to exist from Louisiana
   into southern Mississippi in closer proximity to the more unstable
   air, which is not forecast to spread east very quickly.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 02/07/2017 
 
 
Local Radar

Monday, February 6, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST




Tonight Feb 6, 2017
Partly Cloudy.  Lows around 70°F. East northeast wind 5 to 10 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 7
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  East southeast wind 5 to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  Southeast wind to 5 MPH.

Wednesday Feb 8
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  East wind to 7 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  South wind to 5 MPH.

Thursday Feb 9
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  West southwest wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 63°F.  West northwest wind 11 to 19 MPH.

Friday Feb 10
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 75°F.  North wind to 19 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 63°F.  Northeast wind 9 to 17 MPH.

Saturday Feb 11
Partly Cloudy  during the day:  Highs around 75°F.  East wind 8 to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  East wind to 7 MPH, gusting to 13 MPH.

Sunday Feb 12
Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 77°F.  East wind to 11 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 72°F.  East wind 6 to 12 MPH.



MIDDLE SOUTH SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS

4m4 minutes ago
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.



Sunday, February 5, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight Sunday Feb 5, 2017
Mostly Clear.  Lows around 68°F. East wind to 9 MPH.

Monday Feb 6
Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East northeast wind 9 to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 70°F. East wind 6 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday Feb 7
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F. East wind 6 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers night:   Lows around 68°F. Southeast wind to 6 MPH.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.

Wednesday Feb 8
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F. South wind to 8 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  South southeast wind to 8 MPH.

Thursday Feb 9
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  West southwest wind to 11 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:   Lows around 63°F. West wind to 15 MPH.

Friday Feb 10
Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 75°F. North wind to 18 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 63°F.  Northeast wind 12 to 17 MPH.

Saturday Feb 11
Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 75°F.  East northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 63°F. East wind 8 to 13 MPH.

Forecast maps are courtesy of NWS Miami Florida