UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Feb 16, 2017

Mostly clear this evening.  Lows around 59°F.  Northwest wind to 6 MPH.

Friday Feb 17

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 77°F.  North wind to 9 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  East southeast wind to 7 MPH.

Saturday Feb 18

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 82°F. Southeast wind 6 to 13 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 70°F. South wind 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  South southwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  Northwest wind to 9 MPH.

Monday Feb 20

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  Northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 19 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East wind to 11 MPH.

Wednesday Feb 22

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms day:  Highs around 81°F.  East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Cloudy with chance of showers during the night:  Lows around 72°F.  Southeast wind 11 to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

 FORECAST MAPS COURTESY OF N.W.S. MIAMI FLORIDA

UNUSUAL WARM WATERS IN THE GULF & MODELS HINTING ON SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

Gulf waters are unseasonably warm for this time of the season due to a lack of winter in the south.  Some of the models are suggesting possible sub-tropical development in the central Gulf middle of next week.  

What is the likelihood that a tropical storm could form in the Gulf of Mexico during this time of the year you may ask?  Well if water temps are favorable, upper level winds, atmospheric conditions in general are favorable for cyclone genesis to occur this could happen anytime of the year in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

I guess will see if this holds true.  I will continue monitoring model run which could turn out to be nothing or not!

RTW

UPDATED THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

Hail Point® ‏@HailPoint

Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #HailPoint

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

Hail Point® ‏@HailPoint

Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #Hailpoint

IF THIS VERFIES THEN ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON COULD BE QUIET!

Philip Klotzbach ‏@philklotzbach 1m1 minute ago

The latest ECMWF forecast is quite aggressive at calling for the return of #ElNino conditions over the next few months.

POTENT STORM SYSTEM TO BRING MORE RAINS TO CALIFORNIA

Greg Postel ‏@GregPostel

If this powerhouse cyclone comes in (as some models suggest) near 988 mb, it would rival the lowest pressures ever recorded in the region

SATELLITE AND TEMPERATURE MAP ACROSS THE U.S.

Good morning!
A frontal boundary along the Florida straits has south Florida under cloudy skies.  These clouds should clear the State by this afternoon giving way for clear skies and cooler temps over night.

Temps tomorrow morning for South Florida will be mid to upper 50s inland to lower 60s along the coast.  I am posting 3 satellite images so you can see where the cloudiness ends and how much more of the clouds before we clear out.

There is an area of clouds over Southwest Gulf that may move toward the state over the weekend and increase the rains chance slightly.  Other than that weather here in Florida will be nice.

RTW

COLOR ENHANCED INFRARED SATLLITE

VISIBLE SATELLITE

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE

Confirmation of my forecast for over night temps in south Florida from Channel 4 Meteorologist Lissette Gonzalez.

Lissette Gonzalez ‏@LissetteCBS4

Forecast models show tonight lows fall to the CHILLY 50s inland & COOL 60s near the coast. @CBSMiami @MiamiHerald

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM EXTENDED EAST TILL 530 PM EST

280
WUUS52 KMLB 152125
SVRMLB
FLC069-127-152230-
/O.NEW.KMLB.SV.W.0012.170215T2125Z-170215T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
425 PM EST WED FEB 15 2017

The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  East central Lake County in east central Florida...
  East central Volusia County in east central Florida...

* Until 530 PM EST

* At 425 PM EST, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cassia,
  moving east at 45 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and nickel size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Deltona, DeLand, New Smyrna Beach, Edgewater and Orange City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 2879 8068 2880 8107 2883 8111 2881 8113
      2881 8122 2883 8123 2885 8136 2888 8136
      2882 8142 2882 8150 2897 8150 2903 8085
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 266DEG 41KT 2889 8139

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

Lascody

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK SOUTH FLORIDA

FLUS42 KMFL 152037
HWOMFL

Hazardous Weather Outlook for South Florida
National Weather Service Miami FL
337 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2017

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
160845-
Lake Okeechobee-Biscayne Bay-
Coastal waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Jupiter Inlet to Deerfield Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Deerfield Beach to Ocean Reef FL from 20 to 60 NM
excluding the territorial waters of Bahamas-Glades-Hendry-
Inland Palm Beach-Metro Palm Beach-Coastal Collier-Inland Collier-
Inland Broward-Metro Broward-Inland Miami-Dade-Metro Miami-Dade-
Mainland Monroe-Coastal Palm Beach-Coastal Broward-Coastal Miami-
Dade-Far South Miami-Dade-
Coastal waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee FL out 20 NM-
Waters from Chokoloskee to Bonita Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
337 PM EST Wed Feb 15 2017

...SOME STORMS POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FOR GULF AND ATLANTIC BEACHES...

This hazardous weather outlook is for South Florida.

.DAY ONE...REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

Rip currents: There is a Moderate Risk of rip currents for the Gulf 
and Atlantic coast beaches today into tonight.

Thunderstorms: There is a slight chance of thunderstorms over the 
across South Florida into the evening hours. A few of the storms 
could become strong with gusty winds and occasional lightning being 
the primary threats.

Wind: Strong gusty winds from 40 to near 50 mph may be possible with
the strongest thunderstorms. 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

At least a Moderate Risk of rip currents will continue into Thursday
for the Gulf beaches.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation: Widespread spotter activation is not 
anticipated, however individual spotters are encouraged to report 
high wind to the National Weather Service forecast office in Miami.

For more information...visit the National Weather Service in 

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Feb 15, 2017

Partly cloudy tonight with scattered showers.  Lows around 66°F.  West southwest wind 11 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday Feb 16

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 79°F.  West northwest wind 9 to 14 MPH.

Mostly Clear during the night:   Lows around 57°F.  West northwest wind to 8 MPH.

Friday Feb 17

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 77°F.  North northwest wind to 7 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  Southeast wind to 6 MPH.

Saturday Feb 18

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 82°F. Southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Isolated Storms during the night: Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. Lows around 70°F. South southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  South wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly Cloudy  Night: Partly cloudy. Lows around 66°F.  West southwest wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.

Monday Feb 20

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  East northeast wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH.

Mostly Clear    Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 66°F. East northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy  Day: Partly cloudy. Highs around 81°F. East northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Mostly Cloudy Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70°F. East wind to 9 MPH.