Tuesday, April 18, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight Apr 18, 2017
Partly Cloudy:  Lows around 72°F.  East wind to 14 MPH.

Wednesday Apr 19
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 10 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 73°F.  East wind 7 to 17 MPH, gusting to 22 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday Apr 20
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 8 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 72°F.  East wind 10 to 15 MPH, gusting to 20 MPH.

Friday Apr 21
Mostly sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  East wind to 13 MPH.

Mostly clear during the Night:  Lows around 73°F.  East wind to 13 MPH.

Saturday Apr 22
Mostly sunny during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  East southeast wind to 14 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 73°F.  East wind to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Apr 23
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  Southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 73°F.  South southeast wind to 12 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Monday Apr 24
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  West southwest wind 8 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:   Lows around 64°F.  West wind 8 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.






MORE THUNDERSTORMS NEAR CENTER OF STORM INVEST 91L

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
130 PM EDT Tue Apr 18 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A non-tropical low pressure system is located over the central
Atlantic about midway between Bermuda and the Azores Islands. This
low is producing disorganized cloudiness and showers, and an area of
gusty winds to the west of the center. This system has the
opportunity to become a subtropical cyclone over the next 24 hours
before it becomes absorbed by a larger extratropical cyclone. The
next Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 PM EDT
Wednesday.  For additional information on this system, please
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Avila
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I have noticed more convection (thunderstorms) near the center of circulation.  This system could become a sub-tropical system before merging with an extra-tropical system.  Only a threat to shipping!

RTW  
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

STORM INVESTIGATION 91L SPAGHETTI MODELS

NHC WILL RELEASE THEIR NEXT UPDATE ON THIS GALE CENTER AROUND 2 PM EDT.

STILL REMAINS A NON-TROPICAL LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE.  SEA SURFACE TEMPS ARE ABOUT 20° C WHICH ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.  THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING LARGE SWELLS SOUTHWARD FROM THE CENTER AND PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS WEST OF THE CENTER.
RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net


TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM FORECAST


Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


Monday, April 17, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight Apr 17, 2017
Partly cloudy with scattered showers:  Lows around 72°F.  East wind 7 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday Apr 18
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 7 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 72°F.  East wind 9 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Wednesday Apr 19
Partly cloudy with isolated showers day:  Highs around 82°F.  East wind 9 to 15 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers night:  Lows around 73°F.  East wind 9 to 14 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday Apr 20
Partly cloudy with isolated showers day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind 8 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers night:  Lows around 70°F.  East wind to 12 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Friday Apr 21
Mostly sunny   Day:  Highs around 82°F.  East wind to 11 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night:  Lows around 73°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH.

Saturday Apr 22
Partly cloudy with isolated showers day:  Highs around 82°F.  Southeast wind 8 to 14 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers night:  Lows around 75°F.  East wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Apr 23
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 82°F.  Southeast wind to 13 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 70°F.  Southeast wind 5 to 12 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.


Local Radar

STORM INVESTIGATION 91L OUT OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC.

 NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS MONITORING A WELL FORMED GALE CENTER OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL ATLANTIC FOR SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A 30% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  THIS GALE CENTER IS ONLY A THREAT TO THE SHIPPING LANES.

RTW


A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic
about midway between Bermuda and the Azores Islands is producing an
area of gale-force winds to the west of the center.  This low is
currently producing only limited shower activity, but environmental
conditions could favor additional development and this system has
some potential to become a subtropical cyclone over the next day or
so as it moves generally eastward.  The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 PM EDT Tuesday.  For additional
information on this system, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Franklin/Stewart

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net



TODAY'S MONDAY 17, 2017 THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

6

Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.