Wednesday, May 17, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight May 17, 2017
Partly cloudy with isolated showers: Lows around 79°F.  Windy, with an east wind 14 to 22 MPH, gusting to 28 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday May 18
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  Heat index around 91°F.  Windy, with an east wind 15 to 23 MPH, gusting to 30 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  Windy, with a east wind 11 to 21 MPH, gusting to 28 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday May 19
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 93°F.  Windy, with an east southeast wind 11 to 22 MPH, gusting to 29 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F. Windy, with an east wind 14 to 20 MPH, gusting to 26 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Saturday May 20
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East southeast wind to 18 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 17 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday May 21
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F. Heat index around 91°F. East southeast wind to 17 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  East wind 10 to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Monday May 22
Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East southeast wind 9 to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  East southeast wind to 8 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday May 23
Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F.  Southwest wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  South wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.




UPDATED TODAY AND TOMORROWS SEVERE STORM FORECAST

12
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook.



UPDATE TO TROUGH IN THE CARIBBEAN

An area of showers and storms that has been lingering over the Eastern Cuba, Jamaica and Haiti for the past few days is, part of a trough left behind by a departing front over the Atlantic. This trough has been tracking east and dumping heavy rains over this area. Now that this system is detaching from the frontal boundary, it remains as an upper level trough in this area and continues to produce heavy rains over the Caribbean waters and possibly Dominican Republic. These heavy rains could produce flash floods and deadly mudslides in higher terrains. A Bermuda High pressure is forecast to build over the Atlantic and steer what is left of this system toward the west-northwest in the coming days. This could enhance the rains and storm chance in the coming days here in South Florida...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net 

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

TROUGH OVER CUBA MAY BRING WELL NEEDED RAINS TO FLORIDA

A trough across Cuba and a portion of the Bahamas is producing heavy rains and storms over Cuba and Jamaica and now Western Haiti. 

This trough will begin to track west-northwest within a day or two as high pressure builds over the Atlantic and steers this system toward the Florida Peninsula.  How much rain will see here in Florida will depend on the evolution of this system.  So far models are not suggesting a significant rain event but I will keep monitoring the forecasts.  


There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation and the probabilities are low at this time 0%.... RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net



UPDATED TROPICAL WEATHER PAGE

I am monitoring a trough draped across Eastern Cuba that is producing heavy rains over this portion of the island.  System seems to be tracking east northeastward but high pressure is forecast to build over the Atlantic blocking any northeastward track.  So within the next few days will see what ever is left of this system moving over southern Florida.  The Canadian model so far is the only model that showed weak low pressure developing along this trough and tracking west-northwestward.  I will keep you posted... RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

Cuban Radar

Camaguey Radar:
Pilon Radar: 
Latest Caribbean Satellite

Monday, May 15, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Tonight May 15, 2017
Partly cloudy with scattered showers: Lows around 77°F.  East southeast wind 5 to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday May 16
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East wind 6 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind 10 to 17 MPH, gusting to 23 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Wednesday May 17
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  Windy, with a east wind 11 to 22 MPH, gusting to 29 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  Windy, with an east wind 15 to 20 MPH, gusting to 26 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday May 18
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day: Highs around 86°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain20 percent.

Friday May 19
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East wind to 19 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Saturday May 20
Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day: Highs around 88°F.  East wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday May 21
Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  East wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind 8 to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

 FORECAST MAPS COURTESY OF THE N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA