Sunday, June 4, 2017

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Moisture from the Gulf continues to stream east over Florida and this looks like it will be with us through the coming week.  So take your rain gear with you to work because you will need it...RTW


Today June 4, 2017
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 84°F. Heat index around 90°F. South southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 77°F. East southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jun 5
Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. South southeast wind 6 to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. Southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Jun 6
Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. South wind 10 to 16 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. South southwest wind 10 to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Wednesday Jun 7
Cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southwest wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 77°F. Southwest wind to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Thursday Jun 8
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. West southwest wind to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. West southwest wind 5 to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Friday Jun 9
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. West wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. South wind to 8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Saturday Jun 10
Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. West wind 5 to 10 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR ARE COURTESY OF THEN N.W.S. IN MIAMI, FL





Local Radar

TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK JUNE 4, 2017

2
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


Saturday, June 3, 2017

TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 3, 2017 1002 PM EDT

The thunderstorm activity associated with the remnant low of Beatriz have slowly diminished.  The probability of development continues to be 0%.  I will continue monitor but so far models are not suggesting any development with this system at this time.  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net


PRECIPTATION FORECAST DAY'S 5-7

Day's 5-7 shows plenty of rain for Florida. We will see!

MONITORING THE REMNANT LOW OF BEATRIZ IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE

Corrections made to below text...

Now that Beatriz remnant low has move into the Bay of Campeche or Southern Gulf, it will be monitored closely for future development.  Upper level winds in the Gulf are presently strong but it seems to be slowly shifting east.  We could see the wind shear maybe relaxing some in the coming week.

Models this morning for the 00Z run suggested a low pressure off the coast of the Florida Big bend.  However, we are seeing the flip flopping going on again during the 12Z run there just rain over Florida in the coming days.  This probably because we don't have a definite organized system to pin point.  So models will continue to cry wolf until a real wolf appears.  I will closely monitor this and other areas during this season God willing...RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

Your help would be appreciated with a small donation so we can make this .com website remove the banner ad at bottom and get this site to work on your phone as well.  I use to be able to pay for the site on my own but I am the sole provider in my house so that is not possible any longer.  So your donation is greatly appreciated.  Thanks for your help!

MORE MODELS ON BOARD WITH A SOME DEVELOPMENT IN THE GULF

HERE ARE A FEW MODELS
CANADIAN MODEL (CMC)
 AMERICAN MODEL (GFS)
EUROPEAN MODEL (ECMWF)
 

UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST



Deep tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico continues to stream across Florida.  We will see another round of rains developing offshore and moving inland tomorrow and on Sunday.  It will be off and on rain storms, and some slow moving cells will have the potential for producing heavy rainfall that can cause street flooding...RTW  

Today Jun 3, 2017
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  Heat index around 91°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  East wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Sunday Jun 4
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East southeast wind to 10 MPH.  Chance of rain 70 percent.

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the Night:  Lows around 79°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Monday Jun 5
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 93°F.  South wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  South southwest wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Jun 6
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F. Southwest wind to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Wednesday Jun 7
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southwest wind to 14 MPH, gusting to 21 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  Southwest wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Thursday Jun 8
Scattered Storms        Day:  Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. West southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. South southwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 9
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southwest wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.







Local Radar

TODAY'S THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

25
Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.


NATURES DEADLY VACUUM


 Watch video by clicking on below link! Threehills tornado
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pLfT6XyWWeU&feature=youtu.be

TROPICAL UPDATE JUN 2, 2017 1100 PM EDT

Reviewed latest satellite image and the deep moisture in the Gulf continues to stream east over Florida.  Expect more rain and storms over the weekend.  It won't be a total washout but there will be times when the slow moving storms will be heavy.  You can't rule out street flooding with those slow moving cells.  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

As for the tropics I am still monitoring the Gulf during the next few days.  I am seeing a blow up of storms west of the Yucatan again just like last night.


I also reviewed the models and the Canadian model is up to no good again with development of a storm system northeast of the Yucatan and north of Western Cuba.  I not going to get too excited about this development since this model likes to cry wolf allot.  I will keep monitoring it closely because i don't want any surprises.




Friday, June 2, 2017

TROPICAL UPDATE JUN 2, 2017 0613 PM EDT

ALL IS QUIET JUST PLENTY OF RAIN FOR NOW.  I WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND WESTERN GULF DURING THE COMING DAYS..RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net



DAY 1 THROUGH 7 PLENTY OF REMAIN DURING THE MONTH OF JUNE EXPECTED

We have officially entered the rainy season.  Days 1-7 shows plenty of rain for Florida and the Eastern Seaboard.







04.60 INCHES OF RAIN IN MIAMI INTL. AIRPORT

4.60 INCHES AT MIA INTL. AIRPORT AND 4.50 INCHES IN THE SOUTH MIAMI-DADE. I SHOULD SAY THAT'S CORRECT I LIVE CLOSE TO MIA AND RECORDED 3.55 INCHES.

TROPICAL UPDATE JUNE 2 2017 1053 AM EDT

Beatriz downgraded to a remnant low.  As for the models that were suggesting tropical cyclone headed for Florida and crying wolf they are now suggesting just rain headed this way the next few days.  I would say off and on rains, and thunderstorms.  I will continue to monitor this system just in case it does decide to develop in the Bay of Campeche.  You can find the last model run for this system by clicking at top "Ralph's Storm Track Maps".  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

Sorry for any inconvenience this free site link may bring some of you.  Some servers think it is spam or malware because of the "freesites.net" at the end of it.  I have only received a $10 donation and that is not enough to make this site a .com and eliminate this problem plus remove banner at the bottom of web page.  So if any of you want to help out it will greatly be appreciated...RTW





BEATRIZ MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO

 
BEATRIZ MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO WEST OF PUERTO ANGEL AROUND 0000 UTC.  

BEATRIZ IS PRODUCING PLENTY OF MOISTURE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CIRCULATION OFF THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND NORTH THERE.  THIS MOISTURE WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE ITS WAY TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAT NORTH EAST BRINGING RAINS AND STORMS TO FLORIDA.  WILL HAVE TO MONITOR THE REMNANTS OF BEATRIZ IF IT DOES SURVIVE THE TRAVEL NORTHWARD ACROSS MEXICO AND INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.  

THE SPAGHETTI MODEL MAP HAS BEEN UPDATED AT RALPH'S STORM TRACK MAPS...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net