UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Jun 15, 2017 0435 PM EDT

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms:  Lows around 75°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 16

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 93°F. South wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 75°F.  South southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Saturday Jun 17

Mostly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday Jun 18

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  Heat index around 93°F. East southeast wind 9 to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jun 19

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the Day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. Southeast wind to 18 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 13 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Tuesday Jun 20

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F.  Southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms Night: Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Wednesday Jun 21

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F.  Southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 81°F.  Heat index around 91°F.  East southeast wind to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 0409 PM EDT

Still monitoring the northwest Caribbean as satellite continues to show signs of slow organization.  Development of this system is forecast to develop over the weekend.  There is a 50% chance for development with 5-days per NHC.

The wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little in the past 24 hours.  So development of this wave if any will be slow to occur.  This wave has a 10% chance within 48hrs. and a20% chance within the next 5 days.

Another Strong wave moved off the coast of Africa and is also in the lower latitude so I will monitor this one closely as well...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 1115 AM EDT

Monitoring the northwest Caribbean and the Yucatan for development this weekend.  Showers and storms have increased in the GOH (Gulf of Honduras) and some of this will eventually track northwest toward the northwest Caribbean aiding in the development of low pressure.  Upper level conditions have become more favorable in the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development.  Chances for development have increase to 50% during the next 5 days per NHC.

The tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands still has a 10% chance for development during the next 48 hrs. and a 20% chance during the next 5 days

RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR TODAY

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UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Tonight Jun 14, 2017 0407 PM EDT

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Thursday Jun 15

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 75°F.  Southeast wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Friday Jun 16

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  Heat index around 93°F. South southeast wind to 9 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.

Saturday Jun 17

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F.  South southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.

Sunday Jun 18

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind 7 to 14 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jun 19

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Jun 20

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA 

TRACKING THE TROPICS JUNE 14, 2017 0349 PM EDT

The strong wave west of the African coast is not looking as impressive as it did 24 hours ago.  The convection (thunderstorms) associated with this wave is slowly diminishing.  I will continue to monitor it as it tracks westward.

Upper level winds over the northwest Caribbean remain hostile for development at this time.  This are will also be monitored into next week...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

LIGHTNING ALERT MIAMI

LIGHTNING DETECTED IN MIAMI WITH SOME STRONG CELLS

TRACKING THE TROPICS JUNE 14, 2017 1233 PM EDT

TRACKING A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE NOW ASSOCIATED WITH A 1011 MB LOW THAT MOVED OFF THE AFRICAN COAST EARLY YESTERDAY MORNING. 

THIS LOW LATITUDE WAVE/LOW IS IN AN AREA OF LOW WIND SHEAR AND NO SAHARA DUST OR DRY AIR.  SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE CAN OCCUR AS LONG AS IT STAYS IN THE LOWER LATITUDES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THIS SYSTEM HAS A 10% CHANCE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT 48 HRS.

Still Monitoring northwest Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation during the coming days and into next week. This system has a 20% chance for development during the next 5-days...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net