EYE ON THE TROPICS JULY 30 2017 1050 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. Monitoring a strong cluster of storm moving off the African west coast.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

2. Monitoring the Central Atlantic Wave that has some potential for development as it tracks westward...RTW

3. Not much going on with the low west of Tampa.  This non-tropical low has the potential for sub-tropical or tropical development during the next few days as it tracks toward the west coast. This system has a the potential to produce heavy rains and storms. The potential for floods is likely as this system tracks slowly westward...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 

 

EYE ON THE TROPICS JULY 30, 2017 0305 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. Monitoring a strong cluster of storm nearing the African west coast.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW

2. Monitoring the Central Atlantic Wave that has some potential for development as it tracks westward...RTW

3. Also monitoring a frontal boundary draped across northern Florida and the northern Gulf waters.  A non-tropical low has formed along the frontal boundary and will move east northeast across northern Florida in the coming days. This weather system will help to enhance heavy rains and storms over the Peninsula.  This could be a flood potential for a portion of Florida.  Although upper level winds are marginally favorable for tropical cyclone formation, that has not stopped past storms from developing so stay tuned to Local media and National Hurricane center for updates...RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net 

TRACKING THE TROPICS JULY 29, 2017 0130 PM EDT

NHC dropped tracking the wave last night and now they added another storm invest at 0% chance within 48 hrs.  To much Sahara Air Layer in this area hindering development at this time.

RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 29, 2017 0206 AM EDT

The tropics remain quiet for now.  There are no tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico.  Check back daily for updates.

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MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Today Jul 28, 2017

Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 102°F. South wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 95°F. South wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Saturday Jul 29

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. West southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday Jul 30

Partly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. West southwest wind 7 to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 97°F. West southwest wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Monday Jul 31

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F. West southwest wind 8 to 14 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 91°F. South southwest wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday Aug 1

Mostly cloudy with showers likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. South southwest wind 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Wednesday Aug 2

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. South southeast wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 84°F. Heat index around 97°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Thursday Aug 3

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. Southeast wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR ARE COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA

SAHARA DUST MAYBE AN INDICATOR OF ANOTHER ACTIVE SEASON

ENSO (EL Nino Southern Oscillation)
This season seems to be mimicking 2003-2005 with all the Sahara Air Layer (African dust and dry air) off the coast of Africa. So if this is an indicator for an active Season we need to be ready for what nature has in store for us. So far not liking what I am see as indicators. This is just a heads up for you all. RTW  (Click on link below)

https://twitter.com/MichaelRLowry/status/890994740019245056

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 28, 2017 1234 PM EDT

Tropics remain quiet the wave being washed no change it is still moving through Sahara dust and dry air and this is presently hindering development for now.

RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

 

TRACKING THE TROPICS JULY 27, 2017 0406 PM EDT

Not much change with this wave since it passing through Sahara dust and dry air.  There are some showers and storms that are associated with  a monsoonal trough in this area.

NHC says that this system still has a LOW chance 0% within 48 hrs. and a LOW chance 30% within 5-days.
RTW  http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST

Today Jul 27, 2017

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. East wind 6 to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Friday Jul 28

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 95°F. South wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Saturday Jul 29

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 100°F. South southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southwest wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Sunday Jul 30

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 99°F. West wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southwest wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 16 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Monday Jul 31

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southwest wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday Aug 1

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F. South wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 82°F. Heat index around 93°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Wednesday Aug 2

Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 90°F. Heat index around 97°F. Southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

FORECAST MAP AND LIVE RADAR ARE COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA