UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight Feb 16, 2017

Mostly clear this evening.  Lows around 59°F.  Northwest wind to 6 MPH.

Friday Feb 17

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 77°F.  North wind to 9 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 64°F.  East southeast wind to 7 MPH.

Saturday Feb 18

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the day:  Highs around 82°F. Southeast wind 6 to 13 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 70°F. South wind 5 to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Sunday Feb 19

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 84°F.  South southwest wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Mostly Clear during the night:  Lows around 68°F.  Northwest wind to 9 MPH.

Monday Feb 20

Mostly Sunny during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  Northeast wind to 13 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East northeast wind to 11 MPH.

Tuesday Feb 21

Partly Cloudy during the day:  Highs around 81°F.  East wind to 11 MPH, gusting to 19 MPH.

Partly Cloudy during the night:  Lows around 66°F.  East wind to 11 MPH.

Wednesday Feb 22

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms day:  Highs around 81°F.  East southeast wind 10 to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Cloudy with chance of showers during the night:  Lows around 72°F.  Southeast wind 11 to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

 FORECAST MAPS COURTESY OF N.W.S. MIAMI FLORIDA

UNUSUAL WARM WATERS IN THE GULF & MODELS HINTING ON SUB-TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

Gulf waters are unseasonably warm for this time of the season due to a lack of winter in the south.  Some of the models are suggesting possible sub-tropical development in the central Gulf middle of next week.  

What is the likelihood that a tropical storm could form in the Gulf of Mexico during this time of the year you may ask?  Well if water temps are favorable, upper level winds, atmospheric conditions in general are favorable for cyclone genesis to occur this could happen anytime of the year in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico.

I guess will see if this holds true.  I will continue monitoring model run which could turn out to be nothing or not!

RTW

UPDATED THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

Hail Point® ‏@HailPoint

Tomorrow's Severe Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #HailPoint

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK

Hail Point® ‏@HailPoint

Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook. #Hail #PDR #Roofing #Insurance #Hailpoint

IF THIS VERFIES THEN ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON COULD BE QUIET!

Philip Klotzbach ‏@philklotzbach 1m1 minute ago

The latest ECMWF forecast is quite aggressive at calling for the return of #ElNino conditions over the next few months.

POTENT STORM SYSTEM TO BRING MORE RAINS TO CALIFORNIA

Greg Postel ‏@GregPostel

If this powerhouse cyclone comes in (as some models suggest) near 988 mb, it would rival the lowest pressures ever recorded in the region

SATELLITE AND TEMPERATURE MAP ACROSS THE U.S.

Good morning!
A frontal boundary along the Florida straits has south Florida under cloudy skies.  These clouds should clear the State by this afternoon giving way for clear skies and cooler temps over night.

Temps tomorrow morning for South Florida will be mid to upper 50s inland to lower 60s along the coast.  I am posting 3 satellite images so you can see where the cloudiness ends and how much more of the clouds before we clear out.

There is an area of clouds over Southwest Gulf that may move toward the state over the weekend and increase the rains chance slightly.  Other than that weather here in Florida will be nice.

RTW

COLOR ENHANCED INFRARED SATLLITE

VISIBLE SATELLITE

WATER VAPOR SATELLITE

Confirmation of my forecast for over night temps in south Florida from Channel 4 Meteorologist Lissette Gonzalez.

Lissette Gonzalez ‏@LissetteCBS4

Forecast models show tonight lows fall to the CHILLY 50s inland & COOL 60s near the coast. @CBSMiami @MiamiHerald