EVENING TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2017 0937 PM EDT

The tropical wave near 33° West Latitude has been nearly stationary most of the day.  This wave remains in a area of Sahara dust and dry air and the shower activity has diminished some in the past 8 hours.  This wave has a weak low pressure associated with it and slow development is possible during the coming days as this wave resumes a westward track.  NHC is giving this wave a LOW chance 10% within 48 hours and has increase the MED chance to 60% within the next five days.  The Atlantic high to the north of this wave will help steer this wave toward to west to a west northwest. 

This is a wave to monitor closely into next week as it could move in the Direction of the Lesser Antilles or north of the northern Leeward islands and head toward the East Bahamas.  Most of the models suggest a turn away from the U.S. but some don't.  Still to far out in the future to worry about the track of this system.

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2017 0242 PM EDT

The wave is now near 33 west and continues tracking toward the west.  There seems to be more shower activity associated with it but Sahara Dust and dry air is still somewhat hindering development of thunderstorms.  NHC is still giving this wave a LOW chance 10% within the next 48 hours but has increased the MED chance to 50% within the next 5-days.  Stay tuned here for the latest on the tropics.

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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK JULY 2, 2017 0236 AM EDT

A tropical wave near 32°-31° west latitude is presently moving through an area of Sahara Air and dust.  Although there seems to be more convection (thunderstorms) showing on the latest satellite imagery, this dry air and dust seems to be hindering development of convection (thunderstorms) at this time.  Models still showing development in the coming days.

NHC is still giving this system a LOW chance 10% of development within 48 hours and a MED chance 40% of development during the next 5-days.  Stay tuned here for the latest of the tropics.

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