Wednesday, August 16, 2017

...HURRICANE GERT NOW A CAT 2 AS IT RACES OUT TO SEA...0458 PM EDT AUG 16, 2017

000
WTNT33 KNHC 162032
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gert Advisory Number  16
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082017
500 PM AST Wed Aug 16 2017

...GERT BECOMES A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.7N 62.4W
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM S OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
ABOUT 725 MI...1170 KM SW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 38.7 North, longitude 62.4 West.  Gert is moving
quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h).  An even faster
motion toward the east-northeast is expected through Thursday,
followed by some deceleration and a turn toward the northeast
Thursday night and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Little change in strength is expected through
tonight, but weakening is forecast to begin on Thursday.  Gert
should become an extratropical low by early Friday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140
miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 970 mb (28.65 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from Virginia northward to
New England and Atlantic Canada during the next day or two.
Swells are also expected to continue to affect Bermuda through
tonight.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your local
weather forecast office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Berg
RALPH'S TROPICAL WEATHER RTW

TRACKING THE TROPICS 0415 PM EDT AUG 16, 2017


RTW: Review of the Tropics

1. A new Storm INVEST has moved off the southwest African coast that will be monitored for development during next week.

2. INVEST 92L still tracking behind 91L and still has a potential for tropical cyclone formation in the coming days and now has a medium chance for development 40% within 48 hrs. and medium chance 50% within the next 5-days. NOTE IF THIS SYSTEM HOLDS TOGETHER AND DEVELOPS FURTHER THE U.S. EAST COAST HAS TO MONITOR THIS ONE CLOSELY!...RTW
3. INVEST 91L is being monitored for tropical cyclone formation and now also has a medium chance for development 40% within 48 hrs. and medium chance 50% within the next 5-days....RTW

4. Showers and storms developing over the northern Leeward Islands and east Caribbean are mainly associated with the interaction between a tropical wave and a Middle to Upper Level Low over Dominican Republic that is tracking westward.  There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation at this time...RTW
5.  For Hurricane GERT advisories click here>> The National Hurricane Center

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net


 


 
 


GERT AND THE STORM INVEST OVER THE ATLANTIC 1217 PM EDT AUG 16, 2017


RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. A new Storm INVEST has moved off the southwest African coast that will be monitored for development during next week.

2. INVEST 92L still tracking behind 91L and still has a potential for tropical cyclone formation in the coming days.

3. INVEST 91L is being monitored for tropical cyclone formation and more than likely will develop when it reaches the eastern and central Caribbean...RTW

4.  For Hurricane GERT advisories click here>> The National Hurricane Center
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net



STORM INVEST 91L



STORM INVEST 92L