Tuesday, May 15, 2018

TROPICAL WAVE WATCH UPDATE 0359 PM EDT MAY 15, 2018

 
1. A tropical wave - the first of the season - has been included on
the Surface Analysis near 31W from about 02N to 11N. There is no
discernible surface signature to the wave, though it is well
defined on the SUNY-Albany Trough Diagnostics through cyclonic
turning of the 700 mb winds as well as a maximum in total
precipitable water just east of wave axis. No significant deep
convection is associated with the wave...NHC
 
There are no signs of development at this time...RTW 
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net 

TROPICAL WAVE WATCH MAY 15, 2018

There are no waves to track across the Atlantic at this time.  I will post twice daily or as conditions warrant.

RTW
Website below:
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net



GULF DISTURBANCE DISORGANIZED RAINS MOVING OVER NORTHERN FLORIDA


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad non-tropical area of low pressure located over the
northeastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread cloudiness,
showers, and thunderstorms across much of Florida, southeastern
Georgia and a good portion of the Bahamas.  This system has not
become any better organized since yesterday and conditions are
becoming even less favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone
formation.  This system, however, will continue to produce locally
heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of
Florida and the southeastern United States during the next few days
while the low moves generally northward. For more information on
this system, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 9 AM EDT on Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Avila 
 

 
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