New URL Address for Ralph's Tropical Weather

Just wanted to let you all know that now the website is official and the new address is http://ralphstropicalweather.com/. since this is now a monthly payment your help will be greatly appreciated. Any spare change will do so we can keep the site up and running. No more banner at bottom!

Thanks for the help throughout the years to those that have supported RTW since 1999.
Ralph

18Z MODEL RUN, INTENSITY MODEL RUN AND RAINFALL OUTLOOK AND MODEL

So far we are looking at a rain maker as this system tracks north into the Gulf of Mexico.  You can't rule out a sub-tropical or weak tropical cyclone as it moves north across the Gulf.  Looks like a wet holiday weekend for a portion of the Southeast. 

PRESENT LOCATION

 18Z MODEL RUN

LATE MODEL RUN

GFS ENSEMBLE

INTENSITY MODEL RUN

DAY 1-5 RAINFALL OUTLOOK 

CLICK ON THIS IMAGE FOR MORE GRAPHICS

GFS PRECIPITABLE WATER VIDEO

 

STORM INVEST 90L MAY 23, 2018

STORM INVEST 90L

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA

Special Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed May 23 2018

Corrected header

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad surface low centered near the coast of northeastern Belize
continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and showers
extending from the northwestern Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into
the Florida Straits.  Little development is expected during the
next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds and proximity to
the Yucatan Peninsula.  However, environmental conditions are then
forecast to become more conducive for development, and a subtropical
or tropical depression could form this weekend over the eastern or
central Gulf of Mexico.  Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba and the Cayman Islands
during the next few days, and over much of Florida and the
northern Gulf Coast during the weekend. For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

Forecaster Blake

 http://ralphstropicalweather.com/

 12Z MODEL RUN

 LATE MODEL RUN

 ENSEMBLE MODEL RUN