Monday, July 9, 2018

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS AND BERYL REMNANTS (INVEST 95L) JULY 9, 2018...1119 PM EDT

CHRIS
000
WTNT33 KNHC 100258
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chris Advisory Number  14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032018
1100 PM EDT Mon Jul 09 2018

...CHRIS REMAINS STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.3N 74.3W
ABOUT 210 MI...340 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Interests along the coast of North Carolina and in the Canadian
Maritimes should monitor the progress of this system.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Chris was
located near latitude 32.3 North, longitude 74.3 West. Chris has
remained nearly stationary the past several hours, and little motion
is expected tonight.  A northeastward motion should begin on
Tuesday, and Chris is forecast to accelerate northeastward on
Wednesday and Thursday.

Reports from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is expected tonight.  However, Chris is
expected to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday, with additional
strengthening expected Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 995 mb (29.39 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Chris are expected to increase and affect
portions of the coasts of North Carolina and the mid-Atlantic states
during the next few days.  These swells could cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ 
RTW FORECAST TRACK MAP
(DATA COURTESY OF NHC)




BERYL'S REMNANTS (STORM INVEST 95L)
000
ABNT20 KNHC 092326
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 9 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Chris, located a couple of hundred miles south-southeast
of the North Carolina Outer Banks.

The remnants of Beryl are producing strong gusty winds and areas of
heavy rain over the north-central Caribbean Sea, Hispaniola, Puerto
Rico and the Virgin Islands.  This system is expected to move west-
northwestward across Hispaniola overnight and Tuesday with little
development expected during that time due to land interaction and
unfavorable upper-level winds.  A turn to the northwest and then
north is expected to begin by Tuesday night taking the system
across the Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic waters.  Environmental
conditions could become a little more conducive for regeneration of
a tropical cyclone Wednesday night and Thursday when the system is
forecast to be near or north of the Bahamas.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds are likely over
portions of Hispaniola and the Bahamas as the remnants of Beryl move
through those areas. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/