Tuesday, September 25, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE SEPT 25, 2018...0354 PM EDT

Kirk trying to reorganize dispite how fast it's moving.  Kirk could regain tropical storm status at anytime.  

The residents of the Windward and Leeward Islands should closely monitor the progress of Kirk.  

Heavy rains and squally conditions will pass over the islands in the coming days.  

After that Kirk is forecast to encounter strong upper level wind shear and dissipate...RTW

Leslie is no longer, this system will now be replaced by another stronger low which more than likely intensify to a sub-tropical storm or tropical storm Michael.  This storm system will meander in north Central Atlantic until a frontal boundary sweeps it out to sea...RTW

Invest 98L will stay off shore the Outer Banks of the Carolinas producing rough surf and rip tides and enhance the storm chance for the coastal areas of the Outer Banks. There still a chance that 98L could strengthen to a depression or tropical storm...RTW










TROPICAL UPDATE SEPT 25, 2018... 1141 AM EDT


Remnants of Kirk are still producing strong thunderstorms, however Kirk is still moving to fast 25 mph for rapid development.  If Kirk slows down before reaching hostile conditions near the Lesser Antilles, then Kirk could regain tropical storm status. 

Interest in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of Kirk as Gusty winds and heavy rains will be moving through the Islands in the coming days...RTW

Leslie will become a post tropical in a day or so and a new low will develop making Leslie a strong sub-tropical cyclone in the north Central Atlantic.  This storm system remains stuck in a weak steering environment and will continue to meander.  Only a threat to shipping...RTW

Invest 98L is getting close to the outer banks.  This system is encountering dry air and upper level shear along the west quadrant.  Sea surface temps are also cooler in this area due to Florence had slowly passed over this area.  Rip currents windy conditions affecting the coast but heavy rains remain off shore.  You can't rule out some showers and storms along the outer Banks...RTW