Thursday, October 11, 2018

MICHAEL TROUGH OR TAIL END PRODUCING SHOWERS A STORMS...

Your probably wondering where these showers and storms coming from?  Well this is the trough or tail end that extends from Michael's center of circulation.  Almost like a upper level system in the winter dragging a squall line across the state.  Some of these cells could produce funnel clouds may be a weak isolated tornado.  Just a heads up.




TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 11, 2018...0927 AM EDT

1. Michael continues causing havoc with gust winds and heavy rainfall as it tracks to the northeast. 

Michael still has the potential for toppling trees snapping tree limbs and causing power outages along it's path.  Heavy rains to an area affected by Florence is vulnerable and at risk for more flooding.

Michael is forecast to possibly strengthen some over the Atlantic as it speeds away.

2. Leslie still hanging in but is expected to be downgraded by the end of the forecast to a depression.

3. The center of Nadine is exposed with thunderstorms located to the east of center.  Nadine is encountering wind shear from the west.  Nadine should be a short lived storm no threat to land.

4. NHC is monitoring the Central and South Caribbean for possible development within 5 days.  They are giving this area a 50% chance.

If this low does develop it is forecast to track over Central America as high pressure builds west over the Gulf of Mexico.

Elsewhere the tropics remain quiet for now...RTW

A note to my viewers since I have had many issues with getting website up and running I will be closing it down at end of this season.  A lack of time, and to much to do for one person and the unreliable internet connection here at work, has made it impossible to keep the website updated on time and current.  I will do my best to keep you updated here on the blog.  I will keep alerting you all of potential tropical development as I see it during my daily satellite and model review.  I won't to thank those who help me keep up the site for so many years.
Ralph