Sunday, October 14, 2018

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK OCT 14, 2018...1052 PM EDT


NHC is monitoring the south Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation.  The system has a 20% chance within 48 hrs and 20% within 5-days.

Else the the tropics are quiet...RTW




TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 14, 2018...O537 AM EDT


I am monitoring a tropical over the Central Atlantic that is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.

This area has a slight chance for development as it tracks westward between 10-15 mph.

As this system approaches the Lesser Antilles upper level conditions becomes unfavorable and this system dissapates.

Note none of the models suggest significant development at this time.

NHC is giving this wave a LOW 10% chance for development within 48 hrs and within 5 days.
Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)