Monday, October 15, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE OCT 15, 2018...0419 PM EDT

Invest 94L is not organized.  The low is off shore the northern
Nicaragua and the thunderstorms are displace to the southeast of the center.  The proximity to land will prevent tropical cyclone formation.  NHC is still giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs, and within five days.





Heavy rains will produce mudslides and flash floods over this region as it tracks westward over Honduras...RTW


TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 15, 2018...1104 AM EDT

A broad low pressure in the South Caribbean is producing showers and storms east of northeast Nicaragua.

This low is forecast to track west over the northern coast of Nicaragua and Honduras and could become a depression before moving onshore.  NHC is giving this system a 40% chance within 48 hrs and a 40% chance with 5-days.

This system is a flash flooding potential for Nicaragua and Honduras.

Else where there are a few areas of showers and storms in the Atlantic but upper level winds are unfavorable for development.
RTW