Friday, May 17, 2019

TODAYS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK MAY 17, 2019


Today's Updated Thunderstorm Outlook.



EAST PACIFIC STORM INVESTIGATION 91E

Its odd to see disturbances tracking east in the east Pacific instead of west.  Invest 91E is doing just that.  See below NHC post.
RTW

National Hurricane Center 
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri May 17 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
south of the southern coast of Mexico are associated with a weak and
elongated area of low pressure.  Gradual development of this system
is possible during the early and middle part of next week while the
disturbance moves little.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
 
 

NEW 5-DAY LOW PROBABILITY OF SUB-TROPICAL OR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT

NHC is monitoring an area south-southwest of Bermuda for sub-tropical or tropical cyclone formation.  (NOT A THREAT FOR THE U.S.)  See below post by NHC.

National Hurricane Center
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EDT Fri May 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south or southwest of Bermuda late this weekend or early next week.
Gradual development of this system into a tropical or subtropical
cyclone is possible during the early and middle part of next week
while it moves northward or northeastward. The next Special Tropical
Weather Outlook will be issued by 2 AM EDT Saturday, or sooner if
conditions warrant.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
 

TROPICAL OUTLOOK FOR MAY 17, 2019 1121 AM EDT

Tropical Atlantic remains wave free.

I am still monitoring the East Pacific and Caribbean for tropical cyclone formation by next week.

Ralph's Tropical Weather RTW