Saturday, August 5, 2017

TRACKING THE TROPICS AUG 5, 2017 0110 PM EDT

RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. INVEST 99L Showers and storm seems to be consolidating and seem more concentrated.  So far most of the models in the 12z run don't show much organization with 99L so will have to continue watching as it tracks west-northwest. Model track are flip flopping some are tracking north of the islands in previous run and now they are tracking south into the Caribbean or over the greater Antilles.  I will continue to monitor into next week...RTW

2.  INVEST 90L Thunderstorms are accumulated more now that the wave southern axis is not interacting with Colombia.  This system now has a 30% chance for development within 48 hrs. and a 50% chance within 5-days...RTW

STORM INVEST 99L





STORM INVEST 90L








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