Friday, December 14, 2018

PRE-FRONT TROUGH MOVING ON SHORE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA


Radar Review:

Pre-front trough moving in over Florida today could produce strong to maybe severe thunderstorms.  So far I don't see any signs of water spouts off shore that could turn into a tornado on shore.  RTW



Thursday, December 13, 2018

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY

Thunderstorm Outlook

Another storm system will drag a cold front across the southeast enhancing a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms across a portion of northern and Central Florida on Friday and a possibly on Saturday.  RTW





Saturday, December 8, 2018

Monday, December 3, 2018

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK DEC. 3, 2018

Severe Weather Outlook:

There is a chance of an isolated tornado over northern Florida today as a front moves southeast.







Friday, November 30, 2018

DESTRUCTIVE 2018 HURRICANE SEASON COMES TO AN END TODAY

Tropical Outlook:
The tropical Atlantic, Carbbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico remains quiet!



The end of the 2018 hurricane Season comes to a close today Nov 30, 2018, and predictions
we're slightly off.

It was first thought to be slightly below average season, but as August and September the peak of hurricane season came around they started popping like popcorn across the Atlantic.  This made it an average to slightly above average season but not by much.

However, as we say, "all it takes is one" or in this case two to turn you life upside down,  and those were Florence and Michael our only two Major hurricanes this season. 

Between both hurricanes their we're 154 death and an approximate total of destruction cost of $33.27 billion in 2018 US Dollars.

I think the death total was kind of high for living in this generation of technology/ weather forecasting tools and awareness of the danger storm surge and rainfall in a hurricane can cause.  I believe this is due to ignorance, and those that think experts are hyping the warnings. 

We have seen this happen where they say it's going to be bad storm and it ends up being nothing like they said it was going to be, so people become complacent and because it was not bad they think I survive this storm I can survive others.  That to me is a bad assumption on those who think that way!

We can't really blame the experts  because every hurricane does not behave the same as the other, and this is due to uncertain, and complex atmospheric conditions that are constantly changing.

Yes forecast are becoming better and more accurate every year but there are still those variables in the weather that I call monkey wrenches that can through off a forecast. 

Remember no matter how accurate forecast becomes throughout the years it will never be a perfect science. 

So this is why you must not become complacent and ignore evacuation and preparation advice given by those that are there to warn you from impending landfall threat.

Always enter every hurricane season prepared and with a plan of action, and always heed the advice, and leave if told to evcuate. 

Lets keep those death toll numbers down and not become a statistic.  Never under estimate the power of one of these storms big or small.

Ralph's Tropical Weather (RTW)

Seasonal statistics
Total depressions16
Total storms15
Hurricanes8
Major hurricanes
(Cat. 3+)
2
Total fatalities154 total
Total damage> $33.27 billion (2018 USD)



Thursday, November 29, 2018

TROPICAL UPDATE NOV 29, 2018...0238 PM EST

Tropical Outlook:

The tropics remain quiet as we near the end of the 2018 Hurricane Season tomorrow Nov 30.






Tuesday, November 27, 2018

TEMPS DROPPING IN MIAMI THIS LATE AFTERNOON

Temps dropping to the lower 50s in Miami-Dade tonight with the passing of a strong cold front.  At this time 0341 PM Miami is in the upper 60s. By morning Wednesday temps are expected to be lower 50s and mid 60s during the day struggling to reach 70.  So bundle up the kids tomorrow Wednesday for school.  The front will be a short one only two days in the 50s then back to the 80s by the weekend...RTW


TROPICAL OUTLOOK NOV 27, 2018...1025 AM EST

Tropical Outlook:

The tropics remain quiet as we near the end of the 2018 Hurricane Season.  There are no signs of tropical development... RTW


Friday, November 23, 2018

TROPICSL OUTLOOK NOV 23, 2018...1131 AM EST


The tropics remains quiet, however, models are still suggesting low pressure developing in the Western Gulf of Mexico and tracking toward the west-northwest and across Florida.  NHC is monitoring an area near the for low chance for development with five day.  Probably associated with gulf low.  See below models and NHC potential development map...RTW






Wednesday, November 21, 2018

HAPPY THANKSGIVING 2018 FROM RTW


TROPICAL OUTLOOK NOV 21, 2018...1050 AM EST


TROPICAL OUTLOOK:

I don't see any signs of development at this time.

However, the EURO model is hinting at the development of a small low pressure coming out of the Bay of Campeche or Southern Gulf of Mexico.

If this low were to develop and stay on this forecast track, it would take a path across Southern Florida.

None of the models are hinting on the development of this low.

Since it is the EURO model hinting on development I will monitor it as we near the end of this destructive hurricane season...RTW







Tuesday, November 20, 2018

COOLER TEMPS TOMORROW MORNING


Cooler temps tomorrow Nov 21 as a cool front passes through tonight.  Temps will be in the mid to upper 60s.  Showers and maybe thunderstorm ahead of front.  RTW

TROPICAL OUTLOOK NOV 20, 2018...1029 AM EST

Tropical Outlook:

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation in the Atlantic, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico.  Tropical cyclone formation not expected through Thursday...RTW

Maps courtesy of Intellicast WSI