TROPICAL OUTLOOK OCT 31, 2025

 

Weather Update from RTW:

Now that Melissa has moved out of the area, I hope some of you are enjoying the cooler temperatures that followed the front moving off the East Coast yesterday.

What have I heard from Jamaica:

I’ve been closely monitoring the situation in Jamaica, and there’s finally some good news. The U.S. and several neighboring countries have stepped up, sending food and relief supplies by ship and cargo plane now that the airports have reopened for both relief and commercial flights. Local crews with bulldozers have also begun clearing roads in the hardest-hit areas after three long days.

Unfortunately, there’s still some heartbreaking news — many people remain missing, and as of this morning, the death toll stands at 19. Given how powerful and catastrophic this storm was, it’s sadly possible that more victims will be found. I continue to lift in prayer all those affected by Melissa, from Jamaica through the Bahamas, from which I’ve not yet received updates.

The Tropical Outlook:

Turning to the tropics, a few ensemble models are hinting at possible weak lows developing in the southern and western Caribbean, with some tracking into the Gulf. However, none of these systems appear strong at this time. Both the Euro ensemble and Google DeepMind ensemble models are showing very little development.

I’ll continue to keep a close eye on things, but for now, all remains quiet. Oh and a reminder that Saturday night you need to set you clock back one hour.

– RTW