TROUGH OVER CUBA MAY BRING WELL NEEDED RAINS TO FLORIDA

A trough across Cuba and a portion of the Bahamas is producing heavy rains and storms over Cuba and Jamaica and now Western Haiti. 

This trough will begin to track west-northwest within a day or two as high pressure builds over the Atlantic and steers this system toward the Florida Peninsula.  How much rain will see here in Florida will depend on the evolution of this system.  So far models are not suggesting a significant rain event but I will keep monitoring the forecasts.  

There are no signs of tropical cyclone formation and the probabilities are low at this time 0%.... RTW

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I am monitoring a trough draped across Eastern Cuba that is producing heavy rains over this portion of the island.  System seems to be tracking east northeastward but high pressure is forecast to build over the Atlantic blocking any northeastward track.  So within the next few days will see what ever is left of this system moving over southern Florida.  The Canadian model so far is the only model that showed weak low pressure developing along this trough and tracking west-northwestward.  I will keep you posted... RTW

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

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UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight May 15, 2017

Partly cloudy with scattered showers: Lows around 77°F.  East southeast wind 5 to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday May 16

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East wind 6 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind 10 to 17 MPH, gusting to 23 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Wednesday May 17

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  Windy, with a east wind 11 to 22 MPH, gusting to 29 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  Windy, with an east wind 15 to 20 MPH, gusting to 26 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Thursday May 18

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day: Highs around 86°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain20 percent.

Friday May 19

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  East wind to 19 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Saturday May 20

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day: Highs around 88°F.  East wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Sunday May 21

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  East wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms during the night:  Lows around 79°F.  East wind 8 to 15 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

 FORECAST MAPS COURTESY OF THE N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA

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UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY FORECAST

Tonight May 12, 2017

Mostly clear:  Lows around 75°F.  South wind to 10 MPH, gusting to 15 MPH.

Saturday May 13

Mostly sunny during the day Highs around 90°F.  South wind 7 to 18 MPH, gusting to 24 MPH.

Mostly clear during the night:  Lows around 75°F.  South southwest wind 5 to 14 MPH.

Sunday May 14

Partly cloudy with scattered showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  Southwest wind 5 to 11 MPH.  Chance of rain 50 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms night:  Lows around 75°F.  South southwest wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Monday May 15

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 88°F.  North northwest wind to 7 MPH.  Chance of rain 30 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers night:  Lows around 75°F.  South wind to 8 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Tuesday May 16

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  North northeast wind 4 to 12 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 79°F. East wind to 13 MPH.

Wednesday May 17

Mostly sunny during the day:  Highs around 86°F.  East wind 11 to 17 MPH.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  East wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Thursday May 18

Isolated Showers during the day: Highs around 84°F.  East wind to 19 MPH.  Chance of rain 20 percent.

Partly cloudy with isolated showers during the night:  Lows around 77°F.  East wind to 19 MPH. Chance of rain 20 percent.

FORECAST MAPS ARE COURTESY OF THE N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA