Developing storm system over the northwest Caribbean is now a Storm Invest without the number at this time. This system now has 10% chance of developing within 48hrs. and still remains a 60% chance within 5-days. Thunderstorm activity continue to redevelop even with wind shear in the area. Slow development over the weekend expected and into the first half of next weekend.
1012mb low associated with central Atlantic tropical wave seems like its becoming better organized as it continues to tracks westward in the lower latitudes. This system now has a potential for development of 30% within 48hrs. and a 50% chance within the next 5-days. Most of the models dissipate this system as it tracks through the southern East Caribbean sometime next week...RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Friday, June 16, 2017
EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 16, 2017 1130 PM EDT
The west Caribbean a bit more active with scatter strong storms however, the wind shear still a bit strong in the area. This system is gradually attempting to take shape. NHC has up to this to a 60% chance of development within the next 5 days.
The wave west southwest of the Cape Verde Island or ( Cabo Verde) in Spanish has now has a 20% chance of development within the next 48hrs. and 40% within 5-days.
Watching another wave behind the one above even though non of the models suggest development...RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
The wave west southwest of the Cape Verde Island or ( Cabo Verde) in Spanish has now has a 20% chance of development within the next 48hrs. and 40% within 5-days.
Watching another wave behind the one above even though non of the models suggest development...RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Thursday, June 15, 2017
EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 0918
Showers and storms more numerous in the Bay of Honduras and the west and northwest Caribbean. Development forecast during the weekend.
Tropical Wave southwest of the Cape Verde no change in organization.
Wave off the African coast looks less organized lost some of its convection (thunderstorms). Development if any would be slow to occur...RTW
Tropical Wave southwest of the Cape Verde no change in organization.
Wave off the African coast looks less organized lost some of its convection (thunderstorms). Development if any would be slow to occur...RTW
UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST
Tonight Jun 15, 2017 0435 PM EDT
Partly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms: Lows
around 75°F. Southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Friday Jun 16
Mostly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 93°F.
South wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Partly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 75°F. South southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 60
percent.
Saturday Jun 17
Mostly cloudy
with scattered showers during the day: Highs
around 88°F. Heat
index around 95°F. East southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 40
percent.
Sunday Jun 18
Mostly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 84°F. Heat index around 93°F.
East southeast wind 9 to 15 MPH. Chance
of rain 60 percent.
Mostly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 13
MPH. Chance of rain 60
percent.
Monday Jun 19
Mostly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the Day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F.
Southeast wind to 18 MPH. Chance of rain
60 percent.
Mostly cloudy
with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 13 MPH. Chance of rain 60
percent.
Tuesday Jun 20
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F.
Southeast wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms Night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Wednesday Jun 21
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F.
Southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting to 15
MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Mostly cloudy
with scattered thunderstorms during the night: Lows around 81°F. Heat index around 91°F.
East southeast wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 40
percent.
FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA
EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 0409 PM EDT
Still monitoring the northwest Caribbean as satellite continues to show signs of slow organization. Development of this system is forecast to develop over the weekend. There is a 50% chance for development with 5-days per NHC.
The wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little in the past 24 hours. So development of this wave if any will be slow to occur. This wave has a 10% chance within 48hrs. and a20% chance within the next 5 days.
Another Strong wave moved off the coast of Africa and is also in the lower latitude so I will monitor this one closely as well...RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
The wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands has changed little in the past 24 hours. So development of this wave if any will be slow to occur. This wave has a 10% chance within 48hrs. and a20% chance within the next 5 days.
Another Strong wave moved off the coast of Africa and is also in the lower latitude so I will monitor this one closely as well...RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
EYE ON THE TROPICS JUNE 15, 2017 1115 AM EDT
Monitoring the northwest Caribbean and the Yucatan for development this weekend. Showers and storms have increased in the GOH (Gulf of Honduras) and some of this will eventually track northwest toward the northwest Caribbean aiding in the development of low pressure. Upper level conditions have become more favorable in the Gulf of Mexico for tropical development. Chances for development have increase to 50% during the next 5 days per NHC.
The tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands still has a 10% chance for development during the next 48 hrs. and a 20% chance during the next 5 days
RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
The tropical wave southwest of the Cape Verde Islands still has a 10% chance for development during the next 48 hrs. and a 20% chance during the next 5 days
RTW
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net
Wednesday, June 14, 2017
UPDATED MIAMI AND VICINITY 7-DAY FORECAST
Tonight Jun 14, 2017
0407 PM EDT
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 40
percent.
Thursday Jun 15
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F. Southeast wind
to 9 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 75°F. Southeast wind to 7 MPH. Chance of rain 50
percent.
Friday Jun 16
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 86°F. Heat index around 93°F.
South southeast wind to 9 MPH. Chance of
rain 60 percent.
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. South southeast wind to 8
MPH. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Saturday Jun 17
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F.
South southeast wind to 9 MPH, gusting
to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to
8 MPH. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Sunday Jun 18
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F.
East southeast wind 7 to 14 MPH. Chance
of rain 50 percent.
Mostly cloudy with thunderstorms likely during the night: Lows around 79°F. East southeast wind to 15 MPH. Chance of rain 60
percent.
Monday Jun 19
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 97°F.
East southeast wind to 15 MPH. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
Mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the night:
Lows around 79°F. East wind to 11 MPH. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Tuesday Jun 20
Partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms during the day: Highs around 88°F. Heat index around 95°F.
East southeast wind to 10 MPH. Chance of
rain 50 percent.
FORECAST MAPS AND LIVE RADAR COURTESY OF N.W.S. IN MIAMI FLORIDA
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