HURRICANE GERT UPDATE AND INVEST 91L AND 92L 0452 PM EDT AUG 15, 2017

000
WTNT33 KNHC 152033
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gert Advisory Number  12
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082017
500 PM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...GERT A LITTLE STRONGER AND MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.7N 71.2W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM WNW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 33.7 North, longitude 71.2 West.  Gert is moving
toward the north-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and it is
expected to accelerate northeastward over the northwestern Atlantic
Ocean during the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some additional strengthening is expected
during the next day or so.  Weakening should begin by Thursday when
Gert moves over colder water.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days, with the first impacts
expected tonight.  Swells are also expected to affect Bermuda
during the next couple of days.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg 

TRACKING THE TROPICS 0213 PM EDT AUG 15, 2017

PLEASE NOTE THAT I AM STILL LIMITED TO WHAT SITES I CAN OPEN HERE AT WORK.  I AM HAVING PROBLEMS OPENING THE FTP SITE WHERE THE GUIDANCE MODEL DATA IS LOCATED SO I CAN DOWNLOAD THE DATA PACKAGE INTO MY SOFTWARE AND ADD THE SPAGHETTI MODELS TO THE MAP.  SO FOR NOW I WILL USE A THIRD PARTY MODEL MAP.  ONCE  AGAIN I APOLOGIZE FOR THE INCONVENIENCE.

RTW

 RTW:  Ralph's Tropical Weather

1. Monitoring waves over the west African continent that have the potential for tropical cyclone formation as they emerge off the coast.

2. INVEST 92L trailing behind 91L and this system also has the potential for development as it track west-northwest across the Atlantic.  This system may take a higher latitude than 91L becuase it seems to be tracking toward the west-northwest early.  If it were going to follow 91L into the Caribbean it would have to track westward.

3. INVEST 91L is being monitored for tropical cyclone formation...RTW

4.  For Hurricane GERT advisories click here>> The National Hurricane Center
http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net

INTERNET PROBLEMS AT WORK IS PREVENTING ME FROM UPDATING AT TIME 1201 PM EDT 08/15/17

JUST A HEADS UP IF YOU DON'T SEE MANY UPDATES TO MY WEBSITE AND HERE ON BLOG.  THERE SEEMS TO BE A PROBLEM WITH THE WIFI HERE AT WORK SO I AM UNABLE TO LOAD CERTAIN PAGES LIKE MY SITE BUILDER AND FTP SITE FOR MODEL DATA.  SO IF YOU NOTICE AN ABSENCE OF POST ITS NOT ME BUT THE INTERNET PREVENTING ME FROM GETTING THE INFO OUT TO YOU. I APOLOGIZE FOR THE INCONVENIENCE THIS IS OUT OF MY CONTROL.

RTW

HURRICANE GERT UPDATE 1100 AM EDT 08/15/17

000
WTNT33 KNHC 151433
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gert Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082017
1100 AM EDT Tue Aug 15 2017

...GERT BEGINS ITS TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...32.8N 72.0W
ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM EDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 72.0 West.  Gert is moving
toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h).  A gradual turn
toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected
through the next couple of days.

Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
gusts.  The hurricane is forecast to become a little stronger during
the next day or so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days.  Swells are also
expected to affect Bermuda during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Zelinsky

HURRICANE GERT AND INVEST 91L 1100 PM EDT AUG 14, 2017

000
WTNT33 KNHC 150236
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
Hurricane Gert Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL082017
1100 PM EDT Mon Aug 14 2017

...GERT BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2017 SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...31.2N 72.3W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM W OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Gert was located
near latitude 31.2 North, longitude 72.3 West. Gert is moving toward
the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an
increase in forward speed is expected late Tuesday or Tuesday night

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h)
with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next
48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles
(165 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Gert will spread northward along the
east coast of the United States from North Carolina northward to
Long Island during the next couple of days.  Swells are also
expected to affect Bermuda during the next couple of days.  These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake

 



 Ralph's Tropical Weather RTW http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net