Thursday, May 10, 2018

POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN EVENT FOR A PORTION OF FLORIDA



000
FGUS72 KMFL 101922
ESFMFL
FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-110730-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Miami FL
322 PM EDT Thu May 10 2018

...Heavy Rain Potential Increasing Across South Florida...

An upper level low is forecast to develop over the eastern Gulf 
of Mexico this weekend, as a trough of low pressure moves 
northward from the Florida Straits into South Florida. These 
factors will cause tropical moisture to overspread the region, 
with the potential for heavy showers and thunderstorms especially 
late Saturday through Sunday, and possibly continuing well into 
next week. Most areas will see between 2 and 4 inches of rain 
during this period, but locally higher amounts are possible. 
Despite ongoing drought conditions, several periods of heavy rain
may lead to local flooding concerns late this weekend into next 
week.

$$

Baxter/Scharfenberg

DAYS 1-5 RAINFALL

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml

EAST PACIFIC STORM INVESTIGATION 90E WEAKENS A BIT

000
ABPZ20 KNHC 100245
TWOEP 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
745 PM PDT Wed May 9 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area located
about 1250 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula has become less organized since yesterday, and
upper-level winds are becoming less favorable for development.
While there is still a chance that a tropical depression could form
tonight or Thursday before stronger upper-level winds become
established over the system, the chances of tropical cyclone
formation continue to diminish.  Another Special Tropical Weather
Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by 11 AM PDT on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven