STORM INVEST 90L MAY 22, 2018

STORM INVEST 90L

000
ABNT20 KNHC 222314
TWOAT 

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
715 PM EDT Tue May 22 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad surface low centered just east of Belize is producing a
large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern
Caribbean Sea across Cuba and into the Florida peninsula.  Little
development is expected during the next couple of days due to strong
upper-level winds and proximity to the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico.
However, gradual subtropical or tropical development is possible
late this week while the system moves slowly into the central or
eastern Gulf of Mexico.  Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and
much of Florida during the next several days.  For more information
on the heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local
weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this
system will be issued by 800 AM EDT on Wednesday. 

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

http://ralphstropicalweather.com/

 00Z MODEL RUN

 00Z MODEL RUN

 LATE MODEL RUN

 ENSEMBLE MODEL RUN

18z MODEL RUN FOR INVEST 90L MAY 22, 2018... 0427 PM EDT

Here are the latest 18z model run for INVEST 90L, and they are all over the Place.  Looking at a disorganized system so what can you expect out of the models, nothing much.  Anyhow this system should slowly track northward in the coming days.  Looks like this system will basically be another rain producer so those area from Louisiana to Florida should be ready for torrential rains and possible flooding into the Memorial Day weekend...RTW

 

MONITORING INVEST 90L AND TRACKING THE TROPICS MAY 22, 2018...

STORM INVEST 90L

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
745 AM EDT Tue May 22 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad surface low centered just east of Belize is producing a
large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the northwestern
Caribbean Sea across Cuba into the Florida peninsula.  While strong
upper-level winds and dry air aloft are expected to limit
organization during the next couple of days, some gradual
subtropical or tropical development is possible late this week while
the system moves slowly northward into the central or eastern Gulf
of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is
possible across western Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and much of
Florida during the next several days.  For more information on the
heavy rain threat, please see products issued by your local weather
office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 800 PM EDT.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Blake

http://ralphstropicalweather.myfreesites.net