THE TROPICS STILL REMAIN QUIET FOR NOW. WE ARE IN A NEUTRAL CONDITION BETWEEN EL NIÑO AND LA NIÑA. JULY IS USUALLY QUIET LIKE IT IS NOW, SO WILL HAVE TO SEE WHAT AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER BRINGS THIS SEASON. PRAY THAT EL NIÑO KICKS IN AND FADES LA NIÑA OUT. WE CAN ONLY HOPE THAT THIS WILL OCCUR.
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ALL REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW. DRY AIR OVER THE FAR EASTERN AND CENTRAL ATLANTIC WITH SOME MONSOON STORMS ACROSS THE THE LOWER LATITUDES OF THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC, BUT NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.
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THE GULF, CARIBBEAN, NORTH ATLANTIC, CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST REMAINS QUIET AT THIS TIME. THERE ARE NO SIGNS ORGANIZATION.
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STORM INVEST SOUTHWEST OF RACE, NEWFOUNDLAND STILL HAS A 10% FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HRS AND 5-DAYS.
ELSEWHERE THE TROPICS REMAINS A TYPICAL QUIET JULY FOR NOW.
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OTHER THAN THE AREA BEING MONITORED BY NHC IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC WITH A LOW FORMATION CHANCE 10% THROUGH 48 HOURS AND 5-DAYS ALL REMAINS QUIET FOR NOW.
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GULF OF MEXICO
NOTHING GOING ON IN THE GULF AT THIS TIME.
CARIBBEAN
A STRONG WAVE PUSHING WEST STILL ENHANCING STORMS ALONG THE NORTHERN WAVES AXIS AND THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN AND EXTENDS SOUTH OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF. THIS WAVE IS ALSO INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.
NORTH ATLANTIC
THERE IS A NEW INVESTIGATION IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC WITH A 10% CHANCE FOR FORMATION THROUGH 48 HRS AND 5-DAYS.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICA COAST
TROPICAL WAVE APPROACHING 56°-55° WEST IS INTERACTING WITH THE ITCZ IN THIS AREA.
AFRICA HAS NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS INLAND MORE THAN LIKELY A NEW WAVE THAT IS INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.
A TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS IS ALSO INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE ALONG THE WAVES AXIS.
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GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA
CARIBBEAN
NORTH ATLANTIC
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST
THE TROPICS ARE QUIET FOR NOW.
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GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA
GULF REMAINS QUIET AT THIS TIME. FLORIDA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A MID TO UPPER LOW THAT IS ENHANCING SHOWERS AND STORMS. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BE HEAVY AT TIME WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING.
CARIBBEAN HAS TWO TROPICAL WAVES TRACKING WEST.
WAVE # 1 IS NEAR 82° WEST AND IS INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.
WAVE # 2 IS NEAR 61° WEST AND IS ENHANCING SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE EAST CARIBBEAN AND GREATER ANTILLES.
NORTH ATLANTIC
NORTH ATLANTIC REMAINS QUIET AT THIS TIME.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST
CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS TWO WAVES, WAVE #3 IS NEAR 43° WEST AND 42° WEST THERE ARE SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MOSTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTER-TROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE.
WAVE #4 IS NEAR 28° AND 26° WEST. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT EXTEND TO THE AFRICAN COAST MAINLY INTERACTION WITH MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.
THE AFRICAN COAST AND INLAND HAS STRONG TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS. THERE IS A STRONG WAVE ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST INTERACTING WITH THE MONSOON TROUGH IN THIS REGION.
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GULF OF MEXICO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE GULF AND SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER FLORIDA BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL LOW.
CARIBBEAN
QUIET WITH SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE MONSOON REGION.
NORTH ATLANTIC
HAS AN INVEST BUT I AM NOT WATCHING IT. IT IS HEADED NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE MAINLAND.
CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST
TROPICAL WAVES ONE LARGE WAVE IS APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THIS WAVE COULD ENHANCE RAIN AND STORM CHANCE FOR A PORTION OF FLORIDA NEXT WEEK IF IT REMAINS THIS LARGE. ANOTHER SMALLER IN SIZE IS TRACKING WEST IN THE LOWER LATITUDES.
AFRICAN COAST
SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH REGION.
NO TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME.
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GULF OF MEXICO
THE GULF IS QUIET FOR NOW. THERE IS STILL HEAVY TO MODERATE RAINS AND STORM THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST STATES AND OVER FLORIDA.
THE LOW OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS IS PRODUCING HAVE RAINS INLAND WITH FLASH FLOODS. NO TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED IN THE GULF FOR NOW.
CARIBBEAN SEA
THE CARIBBEAN IS ALSO QUIET WITH SOME THE USUAL MONSOON HEAVY RAINS AND STORMS INTERACTION WITH PASSING TROPICAL WAVES
THERE TWO WAVES IN THE CARIBBEAN FIRST 1 IS OVER NICARAGUA AND EXTEND INTO THE EAST PACIFIC. THAT HAS EXIT THE CARIBBEAN AND WILL BE MONITORED IN THE EAST PACIFIC.
THE SECOND WAVE IS OVER COLUMBIA AND IS NO CONCERNS FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT.
NORTH, CENTRAL ATLANTIC AND AFRICAN COAST
THE NORTH ATLANTIC IS QUIET AS WELL FOR NOW. THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC HAS QUIET DOWN CONSIDERABLY FOR NOW AS WELL WITH TWO WAVES.
ONE OF THESE WAVES HAS A LARGE AXIS THAT EXTENDS NORTH A SOUTH BETWEEN 5° NORTH AND 24° NORTH AND ALONG 46° WEST THE CENTER AXIS AND BENDS BACK TO 45° WEST NORTH AXIS. THIS WAVE IS RAIN AND STORM FREE AT THIS TIME. MOVING THROUGH DRY SAHARA AIR AND DUST..
THE OTHER WAVE HAS A SHORT AXIS AND IS NEAR 32° AND 30° WEST. SOME MODERATE SHOWERS ACCOMPANY THIS WAVE. THERE IS NO SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION AT THIS TIME.
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