..DAY 1 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK NOV 30, 2023..

 

Visit Storm Prediction Center for the latest updates!

Day 1 Severe Weather Outlook 

AREAS AT RISK!

SLIGHT	33,419	7,552,073	Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Lafayette, LA...Beaumont, TX...Sugar Land, TX...
MARGINAL	106,396	12,682,118	Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...Baton Rouge, LA...

Day 1 Tornado Probability 

AREAS AT RISK!

5 %	33,525	7,548,458	Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Lafayette, LA...Beaumont, TX...Sugar Land, TX...
2 %	14,715	1,327,716	Baton Rouge, LA...College Station, TX...Bryan, TX...Lufkin, TX...Shenandoah, LA...

Day 1 Hail Probability 

AREAS AT RISK!

5 %

139,381

20,133,986

Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

Day 1 Damaging Winds Probability

AREAS AT RISK!

5 %

95,407

17,476,421

Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Plano, TX...

Day 1 Thunderstorm Outlook

Days 1-3 Excessive Rainfall Outlook

..DAY-2 THURSDAY NOV. 30, 2023 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK..

 

VISIT THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR FURTHER UPDATES!

DAY 2 SEVERE STORM OUTLOOK (SLIGHT/ENHANCED RISK)

AREAS AT RISK

ENHANCED	15,447	2,188,392	College Station, TX...The Woodlands, TX...Bryan, TX...Conroe, TX...Spring, TX...
SLIGHT	29,338	5,671,862	Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Beaumont, TX...Sugar Land, TX...Lake Charles, LA...
MARGINAL	100,636	12,602,829	Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...Corpus Christi, TX...

NWS Storm Prediction Center

@NWSSPC

There is an Enhanced risk of severe storms, including potential for a few tornadoes, in southeast Texas tomorrow (11/30). The strongest storms are expected from late morning through midafternoon. Forecast details and updates: http://spc.noaa.gov

DAY 2 HAIL PROBABILITY (5%)

AREAS AT RISK (5%)

5 %

145,415

20,445,277

Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...

DAY 2 TORNADO PROBABILITY (10-5-2%)

AREAS AT RISK (10-5-2%)

10 %	15,043	1,985,368	College Station, TX...The Woodlands, TX...Bryan, TX...Conroe, TX...Spring, TX...
5 %	29,554	5,859,808	Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Beaumont, TX...Sugar Land, TX...Lake Charles, LA...
2 %	28,520	3,264,451	Austin, TX...Corpus Christi, TX...Waco, TX...Lafayette, LA...Killeen, TX...

DAY 2 DAMAGING WINDS PROBABILITY (5%)

AREAS AT RISK (5%)

5 %

104,609

18,671,207

Houston, TX...Dallas, TX...Austin, TX...Fort Worth, TX...Arlington, TX...

VISIT WEATHER PREDICITION CENTER FOR UPDATES!

DAYS 1-3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OUTLOOK

THREE DAY NATIONAL FORECAST CHARTS ANIMATED

..DAY 3 SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK..

 

NWS Storm Prediction Center

@NWSSPC

·

55m

There will be potential for severe storms, including a few tornadoes, for parts of southeast Texas into western Louisiana on Thursday (11/30). Storms are expected by late morning into mid afternoon. Further forecast details and updates: http://spc.noaa.gov

Categorical Day3 0830Z Outlook

Day 3 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area SLIGHT 35,774 7,375,863 Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Beaumont, TX...College Station, TX...Sugar Land, TX... MARGINAL 34,094 1,668,066 Lafayette, LA...Victoria, TX...Alexandria, LA...New Iberia, LA...Nacogdoches, TX...

Probability of severe weather within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of significant severe weather within 25 miles of a point. (More Info)

Day 3 Prob. Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area 15 % 36,012 7,377,755 Houston, TX...Pasadena, TX...Beaumont, TX...College Station, TX...Sugar Land, TX... 5 % 34,357 1,700,724 Lafayette, LA...Victoria, TX...Alexandria, LA...New Iberia, LA...Nacogdoches, TX...

..TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NOVEMBER 27, 2023..

 

The Tropical Atlantic seems to have finally settled down for the end of 2023 hurricane season November 30.  I believe we can safely say according to the Climate Prediction Center Global Tropics Hazard Outlook that Tropical cyclone formation is not expected in the near future.  This will be my last tropical update until next year unless some freak of nature pops up.  I will be concentrating more on severe storms as fronts move across the U.S. in the coming months.

Thanks for visiting this blog!

RTW

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 27 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg
NNNN

..Happy Thanksgiving from Ralph's Tropical Weather-RTW!..